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Industrial Production
Measures all industrial production.

Main Indicator: Industrial Production

Most Recent Release

May
7th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.5% -0.1% 0.3% N/A

For March
Provided by: Office of National Statistics (ONS)

Ind. Production y/y: 0.2%, forecast 0.8%, pr. 1.3% (Feb), -0.1% (Jan), 0.9% (Dec)

UK's industrial output levels fell 0.5% in March compared to February, dragged down declines in by electricity, gas and water production. Manufacturing, the key component also declined 0.5%. The market reacted to the release and put pressure on the pound. Data on production has been mixed this year, without a clear trend. The growth in output has definitely slowed, and can be expected to continue slowing because of global easing in demand. The latest 2 reports on Manufacturing PMIs for April and March have beat expectations and remains above the boom-bust level. Therefore the decline in industrial production shouldn't have much priority for the Bank of England's decision tomorrow. Inflation and the nation' housing slowdown are the forefront its concerns.

From the release:

Between February and March, manufacturing output decreased by 0.5 per cent. The fall in March was widespread with output decreasing in 10 of the 13 sub-sectors, increasing in two sub-sectors and one sub-sector remained unchanged. The only significant decrease was in the transport equipment industries, where output fell by 1.3 per cent during the month. Within transport equipment output of the motor vehicle production industry has fallen by 2.7 per cent, returning to more normal levels after a strong February. During February many car manufacturers increased production of new models prior to their launch. Within manufacturing, there were no significant increases in the month.
Next Release Date: June 10th 2008, 4:30 EST

Table of Past Data

8/69/610/811/512/61/112/73/104/95/7
Actual0.1%-0.1%0.1%-0.4%0.4%-0.1%-0.1%-0.1%0.3%-0.5%
Forecast0.1%0.2%0.3%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.2%0.1%0.1%-0.1%
Previous0.6%0.0%-0.10%0.1%-0.4%0.4%-0.1%0.0%-0.1%0.3%
Revised FromN/A0.1%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A-0.1%N/AN/A

Secondary Indicator: Manufacturing Production

Most Recent Release

May
7th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.5% 0.0% 0.4% N/A

For March
Provided by: Office of National Statistics (ONS)

UK's industrial output levels fell 0.5% in March compared to February, dragged down declines in by electricity, gas and water production. Manufacturing, the key component also declined 0.5%. The market reacted to the release and put pressure on the pound. Data on production has been mixed this year, without a clear trend. The growth in output has definitely slowed, and can be expected to continue slowing because of global easing in demand. The latest 2 reports on Manufacturing PMIs for April and March have beat expectations and remains above the boom-bust level. Therefore the decline in industrial production shouldn't have much priority for the Bank of England's decision tomorrow. Inflation and the nation' housing slowdown are the forefront its concerns.

From the release:

Between February and March, manufacturing output decreased by 0.5 per cent. The fall in March was widespread with output decreasing in 10 of the 13 sub-sectors, increasing in two sub-sectors and one sub-sector remained unchanged. The only significant decrease was in the transport equipment industries, where output fell by 1.3 per cent during the month. Within transport equipment output of the motor vehicle production industry has fallen by 2.7 per cent, returning to more normal levels after a strong February. During February many car manufacturers increased production of new models prior to their launch. Within manufacturing, there were no significant increases in the month.
Next Release Date: June 10th 2008, 4:30 EST

Table of Past Data

8/69/610/811/512/61/112/73/104/95/7
Actual0.2% m/m-0.3%0.4%-0.6%0.3%-0.1%-0.2%0.4%0.4%-0.5%
Forecast0.2% m/m0.2%0.4%0.1%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Previous0.4% m/m0.1%-0.2%0.5%-0.6%0.3%-0.1%-0.2%0.5%0.4%
Revised FromN/A0.2%-0.3%0.4%N/AN/AN/AN/A0.4%N/A

Past Releases

Industrial Production
April
9th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.3% 0.1% -0.1% N/A

For Feb.
Release from Office of National Statistics (ONS)

Ind. Production y/y: 1.3%, forecast 1.2%, pr. -0.1% (Jan), 0.9% (Dec)

Industrial production rebounded in February, beating forecasts, as it climbed by 0.3%. Industrial production makes up around 1/5th of UK GDP, and the months gains more than reversed last month's 0.1% decline.  

From the Release:

"Total production output increased by 0.3 per cent between January and February. Mining and quarrying output decreased by 1.2 per cent and energy supply output increased by 0.7 per cent. Within the mining and quarrying sector there were decreases in both oil and gas extraction output. Within the energy supply sector there was an increase in output of 2.5 per cent in the gas supply industry."

Manufacturing Production
April
9th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.4% 0.0% 0.5% 0.4%

For Feb
Release from Office of National Statistics (ONS)

Manufacturing Production y/y: 1.9%, forecast 1.5%, pr. 0.7% r(0.6%)

Manufacturing in the UK rose for the second month in a row, as a weaker Pound may have benefitted UK exports and increased demand for manufacturing output. February's change of 0.4% beat expectations of flat or slightly positive growth. The Pound managed to gain on the Dollar overnight after falling sharply in yesterday's session. 

From the Release:

"Between January and February manufacturing output increased by 0.4 per cent. Eleven of the 13 sub-sectors increased output and two sub-sectors decreased output in the latest month. There were no significant movements in output within the widespread increases in the latest month.

In the latest three months, there were significant increases in output of 2.3 per cent in the transport equipment industries and 2.0 per cent in the chemicals and man-made fibres industries. There was also a significant decrease of 1.1 per cent in the paper, printing and publishing industries."

Industrial Production
March
10th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.1% 0.1% 0.0% -0.1%

For Jan.
y/y: -0.1%; forecast: 0.5; pr. 0.9%
3m/3m: 0.0%; pr. 0.2%
Release from Office of National Statistics (ONS)

Industrial as well as the manufacturing component outputs have been flat in the recent months. Mining and quarrying have shown some notable declines of 4.1% on the month, and 1.9% on a 3-month to 3-month basis. The declines are widespread, although transport equipments industries showed a pickup in production of 2.2% in the 3 months to January 2008 compared to the 3 months to October 2007.

Manufacturing Production
March
10th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.4% 0.1% -0.2% N/A

For Jan.

As seen in Industrial Production, manufacturing recovered on a monthly basis but the 3-month figure remains weak.

Industrial Production
February
7th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.1% 0.2% -0.1% N/A

For December
Release from Office of National Statistics

"The overall Index of Production decreased by 0.1 per cent between November and December. Mining and quarrying output increased by 0.2 per cent and energy supply output increased by 0.6 per cent. Increases in electricity supply of 0.6 per cent and gas supply of 1.9 per cent were partly offset by a fall of 1.0 per cent in water supply. Average temperatures in December 2007 were cooler than the long-term average, and December was also the coldest month of 2007."

Manufacturing Production
February
7th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.2% 0.1% -0.1% N/A

For December
Release from Office of National Statistics

"Between November and December, manufacturing output decreased by 0.2 per cent. The fall in December was widespread, with output decreasing in ten of the 13 sub-sectors and increasing in only three sub-sectors. There were no significant decreases on the month. The only significant increase was in the electrical and optical equipment industries, where output rose by 1.6 per cent during the month, following a fall in the previous month."

Industrial Production
January
11th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.1% 0.1% 0.4% N/A
Month-over-month for November.

Industrial Production y/y: 0.4%, forecast 0.5%, pr. 1.0%
Release from Office of National Statistics

Production scaled back as easing mining and quarrying outputs offset the increase in energy supply output. On a three-month basis, industrial production declined 0.1% as well.
Manufacturing Production
January
11th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.1% 0.1% 0.3% N/A
For November.
Manufacturing Production y/y: 0.1%, forecast 0.4%, pr. 0.3%.
Release from Office of National Statistics

UK manufacturing has lately felt pressure and in November saw 8 out of 13 sub-sectors decreasing in output. 4 remained unchanged. Production in the three months to November declined 0.2% compared to the three months to August.

"There was a significant decrease in the electrical and optical equipment industries, where output fell by 1.9 cent, but there was also a significant increase in the transport equipment industries, where output increased by 2.4 per cent in the latest month."

With BoE's decision to hold rates yesterday, it is very likely the committee will need to cut rates in February, possibly even with a 50-point reduction.
Industrial Production
December
6th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.4% 0.2% -0.4% N/A
Month-over-month for October.
Industrial Production y/y: 1.0%, forecast 0.7%, pr. -0.4% (Rev from -0.2%) (Sept)
UK: Office of National Statistics

Mining and quarrying output rebounded (+2.5%) as capacity returned to normal levels after maintenance and repairs in the previous month.
Manufacturing Production
December
6th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.3% 0.2% -0.6% N/A
For October, accompanying ONS release of industrial production

Manufacturing Production y/y: 0.3%, forecast 0.4%, pr. -0.2%, (Rev from -0.1%) (Sept)

Manufacturing production edged up 0.3%. Transport equipments sub-sector had significant increase of 1.2% with a 4.7% production increase in the aircraft industry.
Industrial Production
November
5th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.4% 0.2% 0.1% N/A
Month-over-month for September.

Industrial Production y/y: -0.2% (Sept), consensus 0.4%, pr. 0.7% (Aug)

"Mining and quarrying output increased by 0.4% and energy supply output increased by 1%. Gas supply output saw a 2.2% decline as a greater proportion of the electricity generated in September was from nuclear facilities, reducing commercial demand for gas." See "Manufacturing Production" and "Services PMI" for more UK news today.
Manufacturing Production
November
5th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 0.4%
For September.

Manufacturing Production y/y: -0.1% (Sept), consensus 0.6%, pr. 0.6% (Aug)

The Office of National Statistics released figures that showed manufacturing production falling by 0.6% between August and September. The decline was widespread as 10 of 13 sectors showed decreasing output.

In addition to weak Services PMI today, the Pound fell after these numbers.

GBP/USD - Services PMI<
Industrial Production
October
8th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.1% 0.3% -0.10% N/A
For August.

Industrial Production y/y: 0.5%, forecast 0.9%, pr. 0.8% (revised from 0.9%).

The highlighted figure index itself which is running at 103.5, the highest since August 2001.

Mining and quarrying output decreased by 2.7% while energy supply output dipped 0.1%.
Manufacturing Production
October
8th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.4% 0.4% -0.2% -0.3%
From July to August, outputs from the manufacturing component of industrial production increased 0.4% as 9 of the 13 sub-sectors showed increases. Major increases were in the man-made fibers industry, according to the ONS.

Manufacturing Production y/y: 0.5%, forecast 0.5%, pr. 0.8%
Industrial Production
September
6th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Manufacturing Production
September
6th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
Industrial Production
August
6th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.1% 0.1% 0.6% N/A
Between May and June, overall output was dragged by a 1.1% decline in mining and quarrying, but lifted by 1.1% increase in energy supply output. According to Office of National Statistics (ONS) Wholesale gas prices fell in this month where the temperature was cooler than June of 2006, and buoyed demand for gas for electricity generation.
Manufacturing Production
August
6th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.2% m/m 0.2% m/m 0.4% m/m N/A
Compared to the June quarter of 2006, manufacturing output increased 0.7% according to the ONS. 12 out of the 13 subsectors registered increases. Transportation equipment industries showed a significant 2.6% increases. There were no significant decreases.

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