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Main Indicator: Industrial Production
Most Recent Release
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.3% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -0.5% | ||
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For March
Industrial production recovered in March rising 0.3%, reversing some of February's losses. The data beat forecasts, and helped the Dollar come off its all time high, set after the US's earlier releases. The unexpected rise was led by an increase in output of electric and natural gas utilities. The capacity utilization rate, a measure of the proportion of factories in use, increased to 80.5%. From the Release: "Industrial production rose 0.3 percent in March after having dropped 0.7 percent in February. For the first quarter as a whole, output declined at an annual rate of 0.1 percent after edging up at a rate of 0.4 percent in the fourth quarter of last year. Manufacturing production rose 0.1 percent in March. Factory output was held down by a large decline in the output of motor vehicles and parts; a shortage of motor vehicle parts that resulted from a strike at a parts manufacturer idled a number of motor vehicle assembly plants. Outside of motor vehicles and parts, manufacturing production moved up 0.4 percent after having fallen 0.5 percent in February. In March, the output of mines increased 0.9 percent, and the output of utilities advanced 1.9 percent. At 112.1 percent of its 2002 average, total industrial production was 1.6 percent above its year-earlier level. The capacity utilization rate for total industry in March rose 0.2 percentage point, to 80.5 percent." |
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Table of Past Data
| 6/15 | 7/17 | 9/14 | 10/16 | 11/16 | 12/14 | 1/16 | 2/15 | 3/17 | 4/16 | ||
| Actual | 0.0% | +0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | -0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | -0.5% | 0.3% | |
| Forecast | 0.10% | +0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.1% | 0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | |
| Previous | 0.40% | -0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | -0.7% | |
| Revised From | 0.70% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | -0.5% | N/A | 0.0% | N/A | -0.5% | |
Secondary Indicator: Capacity Utilization Rate
Most Recent Release
|
Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 79.7% | 80.1% | 80.4% | 80.5% |
Table of Past Data
| 8/15 | 9/14 | 10/16 | 11/16 | 12/14 | 1/16 | 2/15 | 3/17 | 4/16 | 5/15 | ||
| Actual | 81.9% | 82.2% | 82.1% | 81.7% | 81.5% | 81.4% | 81.5% | 80.9% | 80.5% | 79.7% | |
| Forecast | 81.8% | 82.0% | 82.2% | 82.0% | 81.7% | 81.2% | 81.4% | 81.3% | 80.3% | 80.1% | |
| Previous | 81.8% | 82.2% | 82.1% | 82.2% | 81.4% | 81.5% | 81.5% | 81.5% | 80.3% | 80.4% | |
| Revised From | 81.7% | 81.9% | 82.2% | 82.1% | 81.7% | N/A | 81.4% | N/A | 80.4% | 80.5% | |
Past Releases
Capacity Utilization Rate
|
Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 80.5% | 80.3% | 80.3% | 80.4% |
|
Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.5% | -0.1% | 0.1% | N/A | ||
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For February
Industrial production was down 0.5% in the US in February, a larger fall than expected. All signs are pointing to the fact that the US has already entered a recession. Production was negative for the first time in four months. Also, capacity utilization, which measures the proportion of plants in use, fell to 80.9%, the lowest since November 2005. Exports had been propping up US manufacturing (which account for 4/5ths of industrial production), but as Americans spend less, foreign demand may not be enough to skirt manufacturing from falling into recessionary territory. Today's Empire Manufacturing Index painted a similar bleak picture for the manufacturing sector.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 80.9% | 81.3% | 81.5% | N/A | ||
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For February
Release from Federal Reserve |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | ||
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For January
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 81.5% | 81.4% | 81.5% | 81.4% | ||
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For January
See "Industrial Production" |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.0% | -0.1% | 0.3% | N/A | ||
| For December. | |||||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 81.4% | 81.2% | 81.5% | N/A | ||
| For December. | |||||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.3% | 0.1% | -0.7% | -0.5% | ||
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For November Release from Federal Reserve Statistical Release: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Industrial output edged up to 113.9 and was better than expected for November, but was revised down for October. The change for the previous 3 months was modest 0.1% per month. Business equipments had the largest drop in production for November. Year over year for November total output is 2.1% higher. The manufacturing sector produced 0.4% more in November than it did in October. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 81.5% | 81.7% | 81.4% | 81.7% | ||
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For November Release from Federal Reserve Statistical Release: Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization The percent of capacity being used in production edged up from a downwardly revised October figure. Mining industries are operating at the highest capacity at 92.3 and are historically the highest. Manufacturing capacity is operating at about its historical average with 79.9% for November. |
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|
Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 81.7% | 82.0% | 82.2% | 82.1% |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 82.1% | 82.2% | 82.1% | 82.2% |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | ||
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Industrial Production increased 0.2% last month, following an upwardly revised 0.5% gain in July, according to the Federal Reserve, while manufacturing registered a monthly decrease of 0.3%. manufacturing accounts for nearly four-fifths of total US production. Overall industrial production year-over-year was 1.7%, while manufacturing output also rose 1.7% y/y. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 82.2% | 82.0% | 82.2% | 81.9% | ||
| The Capacity Utilization of US industry remained steady at 82.2% in August. July’s capacity utilization was revised up to 82.2% from 81.9% and is running about 1% higher than the longer term average (81.0% for 1972-2006). | |||||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 81.9% | 81.8% | 81.8% | 81.7% | ||
| Q2/2007 - 1st release. Capacity is above average, and continued to firm, surprising market expectations a bit. | |||||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| +0.5% | +0.4% | -0.1% | 0.0% | ||
| Manufacturing sector production climbed 0.6% with a 0.8% increase in output of durable goods. Manufacturing of motor vehicles jumped 2.5%. The mining and utilities indexes gained 0.5% and 0.3% respectively, according to the Federal Reserve Statistical Release. The construction market group gained a healthy 1.0% although it is the only major subgroup to be negative on the year. (-1.5%). On the year, the June overall production output rose 1.4%. | |||||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.0% | 0.10% | 0.40% | 0.70% | ||
| The output of utilities kept industrial production flat. The unusually cold temperature caused utilities production to fall 1.3%. Manufacturing production inched up 0.1%. | |||||