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Main Indicator: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
Most Recent Release
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 48.2 | 51.1 | 51.7 | N/A | ||
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For June
Business Activity Index: 49.9, pr. 53.6
The US services sector contracted in June, with the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index coming in at 48.2. The number surprised forecasts. The data shows that firms are scaling back their spending as they see weaker growth ahead. Rising energy costs and weaker sales will cut into company spending, while consumer spending should fall as well, once the rebate checks go through the system. New orders turned negative, prices for raw materials in the production process kept climbing, and the employment index fell to 43.8 from 48.7, its lowest reading since records began in July 1997.
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Table of Past Data
| 10/3 | 11/5 | 12/5 | 1/4 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/3 | 5/5 | 6/4 | 7/3 | ||
| Actual | 54.8 | 55.8 | 54.1 | 53.9 | 44.6 | 49.3 | 49.6 | 52.0 | 51.7 | 48.2 | |
| Forecast | 54.6 to 55 | 54.0 | 55.0 | 53.5 | 53.0 | 44.0 | 48.5 | 49.1 | 51.0 | 51.1 | |
| Previous | 55.8 | 54.8 | 55.8 | 54.1 | 53.9 | 41.9 | 49.3 | 49.6 | 52.0 | 51.7 | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |

Secondary Indicator: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
Most Recent Release
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 70.7 | 69.8 | 72.2 | N/A |
Table of Past Data
| 5/3 | 6/5 | 7/5 | 8/3 | 9/6 | 10/3 | 11/5 | 12/5 | 1/4 | 2/5 | ||
| Actual | 63.5 | 66.4 | 65.5 | 61.3 | 58.6 | 66.1 | 63.5 | 76.5 | 72.2 | 70.7 | |
| Forecast | 59.5 | 61.5 | 64.0 | 64.0 | 60.8 | 57.0 | 67.0 | 63.0 | 73.5 | 69.8 | |
| Previous | 63.3 | 63.5 | 66.4 | 65.5 | 61.3 | 58.6 | 66.1 | 63.5 | 76.5 | 72.2 | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Past Releases
ISM Non-Manufacturing Index
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 51.7 | 51.0 | 52.0 | N/A | ||
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For May
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 52.0 | 49.1 | 49.6 | N/A | ||
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For April
US services grew in April, beating expectations of another month of contraction. The Dollar strengthened in a knee-jerk reaction to the news. The Business Activity/Production and New Orders subgauges decreased slightly, while Employment and Deliveries were up. Prices also continued increasing, climbing to 72.1 from March's 70.8. The report helps to bolster the case that the US economy is seeing some improved activity after the last two quarters saw the US face a sharp slowdown. The Federal Reserve policy makers have signaled that they will hold interest rates steady now at 2%. If economic data continues to surprise on the upside, then they will be able to carry out that intention. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 49.6 | 48.5 | 49.3 | N/A | ||
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For March
Provided by: Institute of Supply Management The Services sector surprised on the upside, albeit still showing contraction. The employment sub-index was flat at 46.9. The prices index increased to 70.8 and reflects a faster pace of price increases in March than in February. Along with yesterday's ADP employment estimates, the economy is showing the service sector more resilient than the manufacturing and other goods-producing sectors. This may be due to the fact that service sector jobs are more flexible when it comes to skill sets and training, while factory jobs for example require more specialization. Nevertheless, the ISM non-manufacturing employment index also shows contraction in the services sector. Overall the report showed some good signs of recovery and gives hope that this slowdown will not get so deep. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 49.3 | 44.0 | 41.9 | N/A | ||
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For February
Official Release from Institute of Supply Management
The Services PMI showed back to back months of contraction and pressured the greenback, albeit an even lower forecast. The index rebounded slightly from January's reading, which was the lowest since 2001. As the largest component of the US economy, the services sector contraction coupled with manufacturing contraction adds new evidence that a recession is imminent.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 44.6 | 53.0 | 53.9 | N/A | ||
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For January - Released Early
Business Activity Index: 41.9, pr. 54.4 (Dec)
From the Release:
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 53.9 | 53.5 | 54.1 | N/A | ||
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For December. Official Release from Institute of Supply Management. New Orders Index: 53.5, pr. 51.1 (Nov) Employment Index: 52.1, pr. 50.8 (Nov) Prices Index: 72.7, pr. 76.5 (Nov) Service sector activity performed better than expectations for December, though its growth did ease compared to November. Prices are still running high, though they dropped off almost 4 points from last month. The new orders and employment components performed better, but today's nonfarm employment change data from the Department of Labor showed that the US labor market is straining. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 72.2 | 73.5 | 76.5 | N/A | ||
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For December.
Summary from Institute of Supply Management The growth in prices in the non-manufacturing sector increased at a slower pace than in November, but the 72.2 reading means that 72.2% of respondents faced higher prices compared to last month. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 54.1 | 55.0 | 55.8 | N/A | ||
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For November. Institute of Supply Management New Orders: 51.1, pr. 55.7 Employment: 50.8, pr. 51.8 Prices: 76.5, pr. 63.4 The Services sector in the US advanced at a slower pace in November as new orders decreased, while prices showed a surge in inflationary pressure. Ten industries showed improvement, led by communications and retail trade. US stocks rallied today, as this news was added to better ADP jobs data, increase in factory orders, and improved 3rd quarter productivity. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 76.5 | 63.0 | 63.5 | N/A | ||
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For November. See "ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices" for more comments. Prices increased for the 54th consecutive month, with this month showing a 13 percent point jump. Prices have been steadily gaining since August when this sub-gauge measured 58.6; in September it was 66.1; and in October it was 63.5. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 55.8 | 54.0 | 54.8 | N/A | ||
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For October. New Orders: 55.7 (Oct), pr. 53.4 (Sept) Employment: 51.8 (Oct), pr 52.7 (Sept) Prices: 63.5 (Oct), pr. 66.1 (Sept) The ISM Non-Manufacturing report came in better than expected, showing an increase to 55.8. New Orders also increased, though Employment dipped. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 63.5 | 67.0 | 66.1 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 54.8 | 54.6 to 55 | 55.8 | N/A | ||
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For September. The Non-manufacturing Business activity index indicated slower growth than in August. New Orders Index decreased to 53.4 from 57. The Employment Index rebounded after dipping to 47.9 in August and came back to expansion in September with a reading of 52.7. Inventories dropped 7 pts from 57.0 to 50.0, to adjust to a "lower level of new orders", according to the Institute of Supply Management Report on Business. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 66.1 | 57.0 | 58.6 | N/A | ||
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For September. Price pressures remain on the upside for the 52nd consecutive month. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 58.6 | 60.8 | 61.3 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 61.3 | 64.0 | 65.5 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 65.5 | 64.0 | 66.4 | N/A | ||
| This is the 49th month of consecutive price increases although at a slower rate than May. | |||||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 66.4 | 61.5 | 63.5 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 63.5 | 59.5 | 63.3 | N/A | ||
| The report cites continuing concern on rising fuel and energy costs. | |||||
















