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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 56.5 | 57.7 | 58.4 | N/A | ||
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For February
New Orders: 59.5, pr. 65.9 (Jan), 65.5 (Dec), 60.3 (Nov), 58.5 (Oct),
The ISM US manufacturing index declined to a lower-than-expected 56.5 in February from a 5-year high of 58.4 in January, indicating US manufacturing expanded for a seventh consecutive month but at a slower pace, according to data from the Institute for Supply Management. The index’s key components remained above the 50 growth level in February, signaling continued expansion in US manufacturing industries. The new orders index declined to 59.5 from 65.9. The production index fell to 58.4 from 66.2. The employment index increased to 56.1 from 53.3, indicating employment expanded in February to the highest level since January 2005. Inflation grew at a slower pace, with the prices paid index declining to 67.0 in February from 70.0 in January. |
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| 6/1 | 7/1 | 8/3 | 9/1 | 10/1 | 11/2 | 12/1 | 1/4 | 2/1 | 3/1 | ||
| Actual | 42.8 | 44.8 | 48.9 | 52.9 | 52.6 | 55.7 | 53.6 | 55.9 | 58.4 | 56.5 | |
| Forecast | 42.2 | 44.6 | 46.5 | 50.2 | 53.9 | 53.1 | 54.7 | 54.1 | 55.5 | 57.7 | |
| Previous | 40.1 | 42.8 | 44.8 | 48.9 | 52.9 | 52.6 | 55.7 | 53.6 | 54.9 | 58.4 | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 65.0 | 57.3 | 55.0 | N/A |
| 12/1 | 1/2 | 2/2 | 3/2 | 4/1 | 5/1 | 6/1 | 7/1 | 8/3 | 9/1 | ||
| Actual | 25.5 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 29.0 | 31.0 | 32.0 | 43.5 | 50 | 55.0 | 65.0 | |
| Forecast | 33.0 | 20.5 | 18.0 | 35.5 | 32.4 | 33.5 | 35.1 | 46.8 | 51.0 | 57.3 | |
| Previous | 37.0 | 25.5 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 29.0 | 31.0 | 32.0 | 43.5 | 50.0 | 55.0 | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 58.4 | 55.5 | 54.9 | N/A | ||
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For January
New Orders: 65.9, pr. 65.5 (Dec), 60.3 (Nov), 58.5 (Oct), 60.8 (Sep),
The manufacturing sector showed a strong burst of activity in January, as the ISM Manufacturing index rose to 58.4 from December 54.9. That is the highest reading since August 2004. While the new orders remained close to its December level, posting a 65.9 for January, the production index rose more than 4 points to 66.2. Also, the employment index rose to 53., which is the highest level since April 2006, and is a good indication for positive hiring in the sector for the month. Rounding out the key sub-indexes, the prices sub-gauge jumped to 70, showing price pressures increasing. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 55.9 | 54.1 | 53.6 | N/A | ||
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For December
New Orders: 65.5 pr. 60.3, 58.5 (Oct), 60.8 (Sep), 64.9 (Aug),
From the release: "The manufacturing sector grew for the fifth consecutive month in December as the PMI rose to 55.9 percent, its highest reading since April 2006 when it registered 56 percent. This month's report is quite strong as both the New Orders and Production Indexes are above 60 percent. The sector may be benefiting from an excessive destocking cycle as indicated by the recent performance of the Customers' Inventories Index. Customers' inventories have been 'too low' for nine consecutive months, and this month's index is the lowest reading since the inception of the index in January 1997. Overall, the recovery in manufacturing is continuing, but there are still some industries mired in the downturn as evidenced by the seven industries still in decline." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 53.6 | 54.7 | 55.7 | N/A | ||
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For November
New Orders: 60.3, pr. 58.5 (Oct), 60.8 (Sep), 64.9 (Aug), 55.3 (Jul),
The ISM manufacturing index came in weaker than expected in November, declining to 53.6 from the 55.7 seen in October. While new orders rose and production remained at a high level, employment remained in expansionary territory for a second straight month, we did see the prices index saw a strong drop off from its pace in August and September. The ISM data is being watched closely as the US is emerging slowly from its recession, with the manufacturing sector driving a good part of the rebound. Typically, manufacturing leads the economy out of downturns, and economists are watching to see if we will have a sustained recovery or if the economy might fall into a double-dip recession. Today's data, while soft, still shows the main components to manufacturing, that of new orders and production still at high levels consistent with growth in the sector. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 55.7 | 53.1 | 52.6 | N/A | ||
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For October
New Orders: 58.5, pr. 60.8 (Sep), 64.9 (Aug), 55.3 (Jul), 49.2 (Jun),
The ISM Manufacturing index rose to 55.7 in October, a figure that was higher than forecast. New orders remained in expansionary territory though lower than the previous month, while production surged. The most positive news from the index however was a move above the 50 level in the employment index, meaning factory payrolls expanded. The overall report reinforces the perception that the manufacturing sector is leading the recovery, as the reading out of the sector have been strong the past three months.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 52.6 | 53.9 | 52.9 | N/A | ||
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For September
New Orders: 60.8, pr. 64.9 (Aug), 55.3 (Jul), 49.2 (Jun), 51.1 (May),
Activity in the US manufacturing sector expanded in September for the second straight month, a positive sign for the economy. The ISm index moved to 52.6, slightly below the growth pace seen in July, but above the 50 level that separates expansion from contraction. The data did come in below expectations as the new orders and production indexes were less positive than in August. The manufacturing sector is one of the sectors in the economy showing life, and may be one of the engines of growth for the recovery. Prices rose for the 4th straight month, while the employment index remained below the 50 level.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 52.9 | 50.2 | 48.9 | N/A | ||
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For Auugst
New Orders: 64.9, pr. 55.3 (Jul), 49.2 (Jun), 51.1 (May), 47.2 (Apr),
From the Release: "The year-and-a-half decline in manufacturing output has come to an end, as 11 of 18 manufacturing industries are reporting growth when comparing August to July. While this is certainly a positive occurrence, we have to keep in mind that it is the beginning of a new cycle and that all industries are not yet participating in the growth. The August index of 52.9 percent is the highest since June 2007. The 4 percentage point increase was driven by significant strength in the New Orders Index, which is up 9.6 points to 64.9 percent, the highest since December 2004. The growth appears sustainable in the short term, as inventories have been reduced for 40 consecutive months and supply chains will have to re-stock to meet this new demand." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 48.9 | 46.5 | 44.8 | N/A | ||
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For July
Current Release Provided by: Institute for Supply Management
New Orders: 55.3, pr. 49.2 (Jun), 51.1 (May), 47.2 (Apr), 41.2 (Mar),
From the Release: "The decline in manufacturing was slower in July when compared to June, as the more leading components of the PMI — the New Orders and Production Indexes — rose significantly above 50 percent, thus setting an expectation for future growth in the sector. The Employment and Inventories Indexes are still contracting, but the rate is slowing and they are moving in the right direction. It is also worth noting that the New Export Orders Index shows growth following nine consecutive months of decline, suggesting that the global economy is recovering. Overall, it would be difficult to convince many manufacturers that we are on the brink of recovery, but the data suggests that we will see growth in the third quarter if the trends continue." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 55.0 | 51.0 | 50.0 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 44.8 | 44.6 | 42.8 | N/A | ||
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For June
Current Release Provided by: Institute for Supply Management
New Orders: 49.2, pr. 51.1 (May), 47.2 (Apr), 41.2 (Mar), 33.1 (Feb),
The ISM manufacturing index improved in June to 44.8, but remains below the 50 level separating expansion from contraction. Still, the pace of contraction is easing, with the index at its highest since August. The index was pushed higher by an increase in the production and prices sub-indexes. Production expanded, while prices stabilized with a measure of 50. The employment index, though below 50 also saw a modest improvement, rising to 40.7. The release shows that manufacturing is moving in the right direction, and that the index can turn positive in the second half of the year as the economy moves towards recovery. Stocks were higher in Europe and the US today, fueling risk appetite, which weakened the greenback. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 50 | 46.8 | 43.5 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 42.8 | 42.2 | 40.1 | N/A | ||
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For May
Current Release Provided by: Institute for Supply Management
New Orders: 51.1, pr. 47.2 (Apr), 41.2 (Mar), 33.1 (Feb), 33.2 (Jan),
The US manufacturing sector continues to see its pace of decline slow, as today's ISM report rose to 42.8 for May from the 40.1 seen the previous month. The new orders index rose above 50 for the first time since the recession began a signal that companies may have run down inventory and are placing orders once again. The production index rose to its highest level since August. The data adds one more piece of evidence that the recession is starting to weaken, though the employment index did not show any improvement.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 43.5 | 35.1 | 32.0 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 32.0 | 33.5 | 31.0 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 31.0 | 32.4 | 29.0 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 29.0 | 35.5 | 29.0 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 29.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 18.0 | 20.5 | 25.5 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 25.5 | 33.0 | 37.0 | N/A |