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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.0% | 0.2% | -0.3% | -0.2% | ||
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For January (s.a.)
Inv./Sales Ratio: 1.25, pr. 1.26 (Dec), 1.28 (Nov), 1.30 (Oct) Inv. y/y: -8.6%, pr. -9.7% (Dec), -11.1% (Nov), -8.2% (Oct), -13.4% (Sep), -13.3% (Aug), -11.8% (Jul), -9.8% (Jun) |
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| 6/11 | 7/14 | 8/13 | 9/15 | 10/14 | 11/16 | 12/11 | 1/14 | 2/12 | 3/12 | ||
| Actual | -1.1% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | -0.2% | 0.0% | |
| Forecast | -1.0% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| Previous | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.6% | -0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | -0.3% | |
| Revised From | -1.0% | -1.1% | -1.0% | N/A | -1.0% | -1.5% | N/A | N/A | 0.4% | -0.2% | |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.2% | 0.2% | -1.0% | -0.8% | ||
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For January
Sales: 1.3%, pr. 0.8% (Dec), 3.3% (Nov), 1.2% (Oct), 0.7% (Sep),
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| 6/9 | 7/9 | 8/11 | 9/11 | 10/8 | 11/6 | 12/9 | 1/8 | 2/9 | 3/10 | ||
| Actual | -1.4% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -1.4% | -1.3% | -0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | -0.8% | -0.2% | |
| Forecast | -1.1% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.6% | -0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| Previous | -1.8% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -2.1% | -1.6% | -1.3% | -0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | -1.0% | |
| Revised From | -1.6% | -1.4% | -0.8% | -1.7% | -1.4% | N/A | -0.9% | 0.3% | N/A | -0.8% | |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | ||
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For December (s.a.)
Sales: 0.9%, pr. 2.0% (Nov), 1.4% (Oct), -0.4% (Sep)
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | N/A | ||
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For December
Sales: 0.8%, pr. 3.3% (Nov), 1.2% (Oct), 0.7% (Sep), 1.0% (Aug),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | N/A | ||
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For November (s.a.)
Sales: 2.0%, pr. 1.4% (Oct), -0.4% (Sep)
Business inventories rose 0.4% in November, a figure that was larger than expected. Business inventories are a measure of the total value of goods held by manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers and when they are being depleted are an indicator that businesses will have to increase future spending in order to replenish their stockpiles. A higher number means that businesses may limit future spending. Therefore this figure can be seen either as a backwards looking sign that businesses had ordered more goods previously or as a forward looking indicator that can signal weaker future spending. The report showed that inventories rose even as the sales pace rose 2.0% in November following a 1.4% increase in October. The inventory to sales ratio meanwhile came in at 1.28, which was a further reduction of this indicator. It means that at the current sales pace, businesses have 1.28 months worth of goods on hand. This figure was at 1.30 in October and 1.43 in September. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.5% | -0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | ||
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For November
Sales: 3.3% pr. 1.2% (Oct), 0.7% (Sep), 1.0% (Aug), 0.5% (Jul),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.2% | -0.2% | -0.4% | N/A | ||
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For October (s.a.)
Inv. y/y: pr. -13.4% (Sep),-13.3% (Aug), -11.8% (Jul), -9.8% (Jun),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.3% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -0.9% | ||
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For October
Sales: 1.2%, pr. 0.7% (Sep), 1.0% (Aug), 0.5% (Jul), 0.4% (Jun),
Inventories at US wholesalers rose for the first time in over a year in October. The 0.3% surprised forecasts which saw another 0.6% drop in inventories. Sales were up 1.2% and the inventory to sales ratio fell further to 1.16. That wholesalers added to inventories despite a jump in sales means that companies were picking up the pace of orders. The higher sales pace was responsible for the inventory to sales ratio falling despite an increase in inventories. US wholesalers had cut stockpiles the first 9 months of the year and that sets the stage for companies to increase spending and production as demand stabilizes and companies restock. Some of that has already been happening as new orders in manufacturing surveys have been strong the past few months. Consumer spending was up more than expected in October, 0.7%, which helped to drive up the pace of sales. US retail sales figures come out Friday, as will consumer confidence data, and that will give fundamental traders a better sense of how the US consumer is faring in this recovery. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.4% | -0.8% | -1.6% | -1.5% | ||
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For September (s.a.)
Inv. y/y: -13.4%, pr. -13.3% (Aug), -11.8% (Jul), -9.8% (Jun),
US inventories fell in September at half the rate of decline expected. Stockpiles were drawn down 0.4% to a seasonally adjusted $1.303 trillion, following a 1.6% decline in August. The slowdown came as there was an increase in the number of unsold cars following the expiration of the government's incentive program to sell vehicles. Inventories of cars rose 3.8%, as sales tumbled. That decline in car sales led overall sales to be down 0.3% to $988.0 billion. The inventory-to-sales ratio held at 1.32. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.9% | -0.9% | -1.3% | N/A | ||
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For September
Sales: 0.7%, pr. 1.0% (Aug), 0.5% (Jul), 0.4% (Jun), 0.2% (May),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.5% | -0.8% | -1.1% | -1.0% | ||
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For August (s.a.)
Inv. y/y: -13.3%, pr. -11.8% (Jul), -9.8% (Jun), -8.0% (May),
Business inventories continued to be run down in August, with stockpiles decreasing 1.5% compared to the previous month. That figure was a bigger drop than forecast, and can help lead to companies placing more orders after drawing down stockpiles at a record pace in the first half of the year. That in turn should help capital spending and can lead to a pick up in production, all factors that would help economic activity and GDP growth. Inventories are now down 13.3% compared to a year ago. A big part of the drawdown in August was due to lower inventory at car dealers following strong August sales as a result of the government's cash for clunkers program. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.3% | -0.9% | -1.6% | -1.4% | ||
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For August
Sales: 1.0%, pr. 0.5% (Jul), 0.4% (Jun), 0.2% (May), -0.4% (Apr),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.0% | -0.8% | -1.1% | N/A | ||
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For July (s.a.)
Inv. y/y: pr. -9.8% (Jun), -8.0% (May), -1.1% (Apr), 4.8% (Mar),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.4% | -1.0% | -2.1% | -1.7% | ||
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For July
Sales (s.a): 0.5%, pr. 0.4% (Jun), 0.2% (May), -0.4% (Apr),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.1% | -0.9% | -1.2% | -1.0% | ||
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For June (s.a.)
Inv. y/y: -9.8%, pr. -8.0% (May), -1.1% (Apr), 4.8% (Mar),
Business inventories fell 1.1% in June, the 8th straight month that inventories declined by 1% or more. Business sales were up 0.9%, the largest increase since June 2008, which helped firms run down their inventories. The more inventories are run down the more new orders firms will place with factories and why a higher negative number is better in this indicator. The first two quarters of 2009 have seen stockpiles drop dramatically and can set up the prospect for better growth in the 3rd quarter. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.7% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -0.8% | ||
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For June
Sales (s.a): 0,4%, pr. 0.2% (May), -0.4% (Apr), -2.4% (Mar),
Wholesale inventories fell for the 10th month in a row as firms as distributors try to stay light in this current economic downturn. The 0.4% increase also helped cut down stockpile, and brought the inventory to sales ratio lower to 1.26 from 1.29 in May. The auto industry is enjoying the cash for clunkers program and falling inventory. This suggests a boost in production will be needed in the latter part of 2009 and in turn may support employment. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.0% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -1.1% | ||
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For May (s.a.)
Inv. y/y: -8.0% (May), pr. -1.1% (Apr), 4.8% (Mar), -3.5% (Feb), -1.5% (Jan),
Inventories fell sharply again in May for the 9th month in a row. Also, the biggest drop in auto inventories in 4 years caused retail inventories to fall 1.6%. The inventory-to-sale ratio fell to 1.42 from 1.43. Overall, this shows businesses scaling down their stockpile in anticipation of low demand. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.8% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -1.4% | ||
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For May
Sales (s.a): 0.2%, pr. -0.4% (Apr), -2.4% (Mar), 0.6% (Feb),
US wholesalers ran down inventories by 0.8% in May, the 9th straight month that inventories have dropped. An increase in sales of 0.2% helped distributors get rid of some of their excess supply. The decrease was less than expected, but still, the continued drawdown of inventories can set the stage for a return to growth as firms will have to place new orders to replenish their stockpiles. The inventory to sales ratio, which measures how many months it would take to deplete teh amount of goods on hand, fell to 1.29, the lowest level since November. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.1% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -1.0% | ||
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For April (s.a.)
0.9% (Dec), 3.3% (Nov), 4.6% (Oct), 5.5% (Sep), 6.4% (Aug), 6.4% (Jul), 5.6% (Jun), 5.2% (May) |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.4% | -1.1% | -1.8% | -1.6% | ||
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For April
Sales (s.a): -0.4%, pr. -2.4% (Mar), 0.6% (Feb), -2.9% (Jan),
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