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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.77M | 4.82M | 4.66M | 4.68M | ||
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For May
Provided by: National Association of Realtors Official Release: News Release
Sales m/m: 2.4%, pr. 2.9% (Apr), -3.0% (Mar) 5.1% (Feb),
Median Home Price: pr. $170,200 (Apr), $175,200 (Mar),
From the Release: "Sales of existing homes showed another gain in May, benefiting from favorable affordability conditions and a first-time buyer tax credit, according to the National Association of Realtors®. May’s increase was the first back-to-back monthly gain since September 2005. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, expected an improvement. "Historically low mortgage interest rates clearly drew buyers into the market, and housing remains very affordable even with a recent uptick in rates," he said. "First-time buyers also are being drawn off the sidelines by the $8,000 tax credit, which is helping to absorb inventory. However, the increase in sales is less than expected because poor appraisals are stalling transactions. Pending home sales indicated much stronger activity, but some contracts are falling through from faulty valuations that keep buyers from getting a loan." |
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| 9/24 | 10/24 | 11/24 | 12/23 | 1/26 | 2/25 | 3/23 | 4/23 | 5/27 | 6/23 | ||
| Actual | 4.91M | 5.18M | 4.98M | 4.49M | 4.74M | 4.49M | 4.72M | 4.57M | 4.68M | 4.77M | |
| Forecast | 4.93M | 4.95M | 5.05M | 4.90M | 4.40M | 4.80M | 4.45M | 4.66M | 4.65M | 4.82M | |
| Previous | 5.02M | 4.91M | 5.14M | 4.98M | 4.45M | 4.74M | 4.49M | 4.71M | 4.55M | 4.66M | |
| Revised From | 5.00M | N/A | 5.18M | N/A | 4.49M | N/A | N/A | 4.72M | 4.57M | 4.68M | |

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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.68M | 4.65M | 4.55M | 4.57M | ||
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For April
Provided by: National Association of Realtors Official Release: News Release
Sales m/m: 2.9%, pr. -3.0% (Mar) 5.1% (Feb), -5.3% (Jan),
Median Home Price: $170,200, pr. $175,200 (Mar), $165,400 (Feb),
Existing home sales rose in April, the second month out of three that sales were higher as bargain hunters took advantage of low prices and foreclosure auctions to purchase homes. That is an indication that the market may have reached a bottom in terms of prices which should result in higher sales going forward. If that is the case, then there's a chance that the current glut of unsold homes can dwindle helping to end the slump in property values.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.57M | 4.66M | 4.71M | 4.72M | ||
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For March
Provided by: National Association of Realtors Official Release: News Release
Sales m/m: -3.0%, forecast -1.5%, pr. 5.1% (Feb), -5.3% (Jan),
Median Home Price: $$175,200, pr. $165,400 (Feb), $170,300 (Jan),
From the Release: "Existing-home sales eased in March but first-time buyers are responding to low mortgage interest rates and tax credits, according to the National Association of Realtors. Existing-home sales - including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops - declined 3.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 4.57 million units in March from a downwardly revised level of 4.71 million in February, and were 7.1 percent lower than the 4.92 million-unit pace in March 2008. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the market appears to be stabilizing with modest monthly ups and downs, and that first-time buyers are driving the market. "The share of lower priced home sales has trended up, indicating a return of many first-time buyers, which we also see in a parallel member survey," he said. "Sales in the upper price ranges remain stalled because of higher interest rates on jumbo loans." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.72M | 4.45M | 4.49M | N/A | ||
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For February
Provided by: National Association of Realtors Official Release: News Release
Sales m/m: 5.1%, forecast -0.9%, pr. -5.3% (Jan), 6.5% (Dec),
Median Home Price: $165,400, pr. $170,300 (Jan), $175,400 (Dec),
Existing home sales surprised forecasts of a slight decline in February, jumping 5.1% to an annual pace of 4.72 million units. That follows better than expected housing starts numbers last week and the two together can be a sign that the low mortgage rates recently are finding willing takers. The data showed that first-time buyers accounted for half of all home sales last month, with most going after distressed homes or those with heavy discount in prices.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.49M | 4.80M | 4.74M | N/A | ||
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For January
Provided by: National Association of Realtors Official Release: News Release
Sales m/m: -5.3%, forecast 1.3%, pr. 6.5% (Dec), -9.4% (Nov),
Median Home Price: $170,300, pr. $175,400 (Dec), pr. $181,300 (Nov),
From the Release: "Existing-home sales declined in January with some buyers waiting to see how details of the economic stimulus package would affect them, according to the National Association of Realtors. At the same time, inventories fell to a two-year low. Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – fell 5.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.49 million units in January from a level of 4.74 million units in December, and are 8.6 percent lower the 4.91 million-unit pace in January 2008. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said there was understandable hesitation by some home buyers. “Given so much stimulus package discussion in January, some would-be buyers simply sat out for clarity and certainty on the nature of housing stimulus,” he said. “The housing market will soon get a lift from very favorable buying conditions – not only from improved affordability, but also from the stimulus of an $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit, and higher conforming loan limits that will allow more people to tap into 50-year low mortgage rates.” NAR estimates the impact of the stimulus package and lower interest rates on the housing market to be about 900,000 additional home sales in 2009 compared to conditions before the stimulus package. Inventory is expected to fall below an 8-month supply by the year end, which would be consistent with home price stabilization."
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.74M | 4.40M | 4.45M | 4.49M | ||
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For December
Provided by: National Association of Realtors Official Release: News Release
Sales m/m: 6.5%, forecast -2.0%, pr. -9.4% (rev from -8.6%, Nov),
Median Home Price: $175,400, pr. $181,300 (Nov), $183,300 (Oct),
Existing home sales surprised forecasts and increased 6.5%, to an annual rate of 4.74 million. The increase in sales was a result of plunging prices, which helped get some potential buyers off the sidelines. Also mortgage rates have dropped to very low levels as a result of the low interest rate in the US and government attempts to re-stabilize the housing market. The amount of unsold inventory fell 11.7% to a 9.3 month supply at the current sales pace, down from a 11.2 month supply in November. Still, one month of good data does not mean the US housing sector is out of its malaise, though it does seem that the existing home sales market is faring much better than existing homes and new constructions. New home sales data comes out later this week.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.49M | 4.90M | 4.98M | N/A | ||
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For November
Provided by: National Association of Realtors Official Release: News Release
Sales m/m: -8.6%, pr. -3.1%, 4.7% (Sep), -2.2% (Aug), 3.1% (Jul),
From the Release: "Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – fell 8.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate¹ of 4.49 million units in November from a downwardly revised level of 4.91 million in October, and are 10.6 percent below the 5.02 million-unit pace in November 2007. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, expected a decline. “The quickly deteriorating conditions in the job market, stock market, and consumer confidence in October and November have knocked down home sales to another level. We hope the home sales impact from the stock market crash turns out to be short-lived, as was the case in 1987 and 2001,” he said. “It is, therefore, imperative to provide incentives for homebuyers to get back into the market. It also depends on how effectively Congress and the new administration can help facilitate the short sales process and unclog the mortgage pipeline – impediments remain for some buyers with good credit,” Yun said. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.98M | 5.05M | 5.14M | 5.18M | ||
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For November
Provided by: National Association of Realtors Official Release: News Release
Sales m/m: -3.1%, forecast -2.9%, pr. 4.7% (rev from 5.5%, Sep),
From the Release: "Existing-home sales declined on the heels of a strong gain in September as uncertainty and economic concerns increased in October, according to the National Association of Realtors. Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – fell 3.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.98 million units in October from a downwardly revised pace of 5.14 million in September, and are 1.6 percent below the 5.06 million-unit level in October 2007. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said consumer hesitation is understandable. “Many potential home buyers appear to have withdrawn from the market due to the stock market collapse and deteriorating economic conditions,” he said. “We have favorable affordability conditions, but we need more than that to give buyers with jobs the confidence they need. This is why a housing stimulus is so critical now to encourage more buyers to draw down the inventory and stabilize home prices. Without home price stabilization, there will not be an economic recovery.”
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 5.18M | 4.95M | 4.91M | N/A | ||
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For September
Provided by: National Association of Realtors Official Release: News Release
Sales m/m: 5.5%, forecast 1.2%, pr. -2.2% (Aug), 3.1% (Jul), -2.6% (Jun),
Existing-home sales increased last month as buyers responded to improved housing affordability conditions, said the National Association of Realtors. Sales increased 5.5% on the month, to an annual pace of 5.18 million. Inventories were down, and prices continued to fall. They are now 9% lower from a year ago. It seems the take over of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac helped stabilize mortgage rates and brought them down. With lower mortgage rates, lower prices, and lower inventories, the conditions may be there for some kind of bottom to housing, at least in the existing home sector. An interesting note is that almost 80% of purchases were for primary residences, meaning there were less purchases by speculative investors.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.91M | 4.93M | 5.02M | 5.00M | ||
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For August
Provided by: National Association of Realtors Official Release: News Release
Sales m/m: -2.2%, pr. 3.1% (Jul), -2.6% (Jun), 2.0% (May), -1.0% (Apr)
From the Release: "Existing-home sales were down in August following a healthy gain in July as tight mortgage credit curtailed activity, according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales rose in the Midwest and South but fell in the Northeast and West. Nationally, existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops –declined 2.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 4.91 million units in August from an upwardly revised pace of 5.02 million in July, but are 10.7 percent below the 5.50 million-unit pace in August 2007. NAR President Richard F. Gaylord, a broker with RE/MAX Real Estate Specialists in Long Beach, Calif., said the pendulum in the mortgage market has swung too far. “The difficulty in obtaining a mortgage increased over past couple months, making it more challenging for creditworthy borrowers to find financing,” he said. “Our hope is that overly tight lending criteria can be loosened with reasonable standards and credit so that sales activity can catch up with demand. Interest rates have already declined, but there is a serious question as to whether a cash infusion by the U.S. Treasury into Wall Street would help consumers by improving mortgage funding." |
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