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Existing Home Sales
Measures the number of sales of previously constructed homes, condominium and co-ops closed during the month. Existing homes account for a larger sector of the housing market than new homes. Purchases of homes have economic effects on realtors, mortgage lenders and furnishings companies. In the US, the report's figures are annualized, meaning it is a projection for a full year.
  • USA

Main Indicator: Existing Home Sales

Most Recent Release

April
22nd, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
4.93M 4.93M 5.03M N/A

For March
Provided by: National Association of Realtors
Official Release: News Release

Sales m/m: -2.0%, forecast -2.0%, pr. 2.9%
Median Existing Home Price: $200,700 (Mar 08), $217,400 (Mar 07)

Existing home sales declined again in March, after showing some signs of improvement in February. The decline was expected, and the Dollar was already being pressured against the Euro from overnight. However against the Yen, the Dollar found some strengthen following the release.

From the Release:

"Existing-home sales edged down in March, remaining within a narrow range of sales activity that has persisted since last September, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – were down 2.0 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate (1) of 4.93 million units in March from a level of 5.03 million in February, and remain 19.3 percent below the 6.11 million-unit pace in March 2007. A rise in condo sales in March was offset by a drop in single-family sales. Regionally, sales rose in the Northeast and West but fell in the Midwest and South.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the market is performing unevenly. “Though mortgage rates are at historically low levels, some borrowers are facing restrictive lending practices in declining markets,” he said. “At the same time, many buyers continue to bide their time with a large number of homes to choose from, while other potential buyers remain on the sidelines.”"

 

Next Release Date: May 23rd 2008, 10:00 EST

Table of Past Data

7/258/279/2510/2411/2812/311/242/253/244/22
Actual5.75M5.75M5.50M5.04M4.97M5.00M4.89M4.89M5.03M4.93M
Forecast5.87M5.75M5.50M5.25M5.00M4.97M4.95M4.80M4.85M4.93M
Previous5.98M5.76M5.75M5.50M5.04M4.98M5.00M4.91M4.89M5.03M
Revised From5.99M5.75MN/AN/AN/A4.97MN/A4.89MN/AN/A

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Past Releases

March
24th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
5.03M 4.85M 4.89M N/A

For February
Provided by: National Association of Realtors

Sales Price of Existing Home: $195,900 (Feb '08), pr. $213,500 (Feb '07)

Existing Home Sales beat expectations of another decrease, to post a 2.9% increase, with the annual pace for February reaching 5.03 million units. It was the first rise in sales in 7 months and may indicate a bottom for the struggling US housing market.  

"Sales of existing homes increased in February and remain within a fairly stable range, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – rose 2.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate (1) of 5.03 million units in February from a pace of 4.89 million in January, but remain 23.8 percent below the 6.60 million-unit level in February 2007. The sales pace has been in a fairly narrow range since last September.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the gain is encouraging. “We’re not expecting a notable gain in existing-home sales until the second half of this year, but the improvement is another sign that the market is stabilizing,” he said. “Buyers taking advantage of higher loan limits for both FHA and conventional mortgages will unleash some pent-up demand. As inventories are drawn down, prices in many markets should go positive later this year.”"

USD/JPY - 30 Min Candles: The better than expected result sent the US Dollar up around 70 pips against the Yen. It also helped the Dollar win back some of its earlier gains against the Euor that had been pared down overnight.

USD/JPY - Existing Home Sales

February
25th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
4.89M 4.80M 4.91M 4.89M

For January
Provided by: National Association of Realtors
Official Release: PDF

Sales Price of Existing Home: $201,100, pr. $207,000

Existing home sales in January were down 0.4% compared to an upwardly revised annual pace of 4.91 mln units in December. January's annual pace of 4.89 mln units was higher than forecast. The sales price for an existing home continued to decline, which may induce buying from potential home seekers. The benchmark interest rates in the US has come down recently as a result of an aggressive monetary loosening campaign, which may also work to help the fragile housing sector.

January
24th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
4.89M 4.95M 5.00M N/A

For Dec.
Official Release from the National Association of Realtors

Existing Home Sales m/m: -2.2%, pr. 0.4% (Nov), -1.2% (Oct).

"Existing-home sales – including single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – slipped 2.2 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of 4.89 million units in December from a pace of 5.00 million in November, and are 22.0 percent below the 6.27 million-unit level in December 2006.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the market is experiencing uncharacteristic weakness. “Home sales remain weak despite improved affordability conditions in many parts of the country, but we could get a quick boost to the market if loan limits are raised in combination with the bold cut in the Fed funds rate,” he said. “Home prices are lower, mortgage interest rates continue to decline and incomes are higher, but many potential buyers are delaying a purchase.”"

December
31st, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
5.00M 4.97M 4.98M 4.97M
For Nov.
News Release from National Association of Realtors

Existing Home Sales m/m: 0.4% (Nov), forecast 0.0%, pr. -1.2% (Oct).

Total existing-home sales rose 0.4% on the month, to a seasonally adjusted pace of 5 million units in November. October's pace was revised slightly upwards to 4.98. The report also showed that prices for existing homes were down 3.3% from November 2006. On a yearly basis, sales are 20% off the pace of the 6.25 million units in November 2006.

However, the markets were looking for any news that the housing recession has hit a bottom. Brushing off Friday's disappointing new home sales, the Dollar gained on the Euro and Pound.
November
28th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
4.97M 5.00M 5.04M N/A
For October.

Existing Home Sales m/m: -1.2% (Oct), forecast -0.8%, pr. -8.0% (Sept)

Purchases of existing homes dropped 1.2% to an annual rate of 4.97 million, the fewest since the National Association of Realtors began keeping records in 1999. Banks have tightened their lending standards, while foreclosures add more unsold properties to the market, putting pressure on home prices.

October
24th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
5.04M 5.25M 5.50M N/A
For September.

Sales of existing homes sales were down 8%, more than consensus estimates of a drop to 5.25M.
September
25th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
5.50M 5.50M 5.75M N/A
Existing home sales declined as expected. The annual sales, from August 2006, fell by 4.3% from July's 5.75 million, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). The EUR/USD jumped from last session's high of 1.4127 to another record level of 1.4152, immediately following the release.
August
27th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
5.75M 5.75M 5.76M 5.75M
Existing home sales fell for a fifth consecutive month for July, inventories of unsold properties increased, and prices dropped. Inventory data shows a 16-year high, according to marketwatch.com. July saw a 0.2% decline from June's revised number of 5.76M. The median home price reported for July was $228,900. In July 2006 the price was $230,200, and in June of this year it was $229,200.
July
25th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
5.75M 5.87M 5.98M 5.99M
After an essentially flat reading in May, June's existing home sales numbers dropped and reflects the tightening of lending standards.

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