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New Home Sales
Measures the number of homes that are sold during the month.
  • USA

Main Indicator: New Home Sales

Most Recent Release

September
25th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
460K 510K 520K 515K
For August (seasonally adjusted annual rate)
Provided by: US Census Bureau

New Home Sales m/m: -11.5%, forecast 0.0%, pr. 4.0% (rev from 2.4% - Jul),
-2.1% (Jun), -1.7% (May)

New home sales fell 11.5% to an annual pace of 460K. That is the lowest level in 17 years, and was far below economists' forecasts. July's figure was revised slightly higher. The mediam price of a new home fell 6.2% compared to a year ago while the average price tumbled 12.4%. 

Next Release Date: October 27th 2008, 10:00 EST

Table of Past Data

12/281/282/273/264/245/276/257/258/269/25
Actual647K604K588K590K526K526K512K530K515K460K
Forecast718K645K600K578K584K522K510K510K525K510K
Previous711K634K604K601K575K509K525K533K503K520K
Revised From728K647KN/A588K590K526K526K512K530K515K

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Past Releases

August
26th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
515K 525K 503K 530K
For July (seasonally adjusted annual rate)
Provided by: US Census Bureau

New Home Sales m/m: 2.4%, forecast -0.9%, pr. -2.1% R (Jun), -1.7% (May)

The pace of annual new homes sales increased to 515K in July from June's downwardly revised 503K. That was a serious correction as sales were originally reported at 530K. With that revision, housing sales increased 2.4% but were still below expectations of a 525K. The news is a negative counter-punch to the upbeat existing home sales data seen yesterday. With many bargains and discounts to be had on the used home market, new homes may see a decline in interest.

July
25th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
530K 510K 533K 512K
For June (seasonally adjusted annual rate)
Provided by: US Census Bureau

New Home Sales m/m: -0.6%, forecast -2.7%, pr. -1.7% (rev from -2.5%), 3.3% (Apr)

Sales of new home sales were down 0.6% this month, but only because the figures for the month of May were revised up. For June, the annual pace of new home sales was 530K, better than expectations of 510K. The data was better than expected, but overall conditions in the US housing market remain bleak. Year-over-year new home sales were 33.3% lower than in the level in June 2007. The median price of a new home was down 2% during the same time. Declining prices hurt the sellers of homes and limit buying as potential buyers wait for even lower prices. Inventories were down to an estimated 426,000 homes, continuing a downward trend. The extra supply of homes is also pressuring prices, as demand remains weak. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis there was an estimated 49,000 homes actually sold in June, down from 51,000 in May.  

The report is welcome news after a disappointing release earlier in the week from existing home sales.

June
25th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
512K 510K 525K 526K
For May (seasonally adjusted annual rate)
Provided by: US Census Bureau

New Home Sales m/m: -2.5%, forecast -2.7%, pr. 3.3%

New home sales retreated for the 5th time in the last 6 months, falling 2.5% for the May period to an annual pace of 512K. Inventories of homes declined to an estimated 453,000 homes for sale at the end of May from April's 461,000 as earlier bloated inventories were depressing housing and construction. The median price for a new home decreased by 5.7% to $231,000 in May from $245,000 in May 2007. The average price rose by 0.5% to $311,000 from $309,700.

Potential home buyers are facing higher mortgage rates, and continue to wait for prices to decline, as there has not been a bottom yet in the US housing market.

May
27th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
526K 522K 509K 526K
For April
Provided by: US Census Bureau

New Home Sales m/m: 3.3%, forecast 0.1%, pr. -11.0% (rev from -8.5%)

New home sales showed a 3.3% increase for the month of April, though the number corresponds to a downwardly revised March figure. The annual pace for April was 526K new home sales, up from 509K in March. The revised figure for March was the lowest in 17 years, while housing prices are falling the S&P/Case Shiller report showed today. The housing market will continue to be a drag on the US economy, and financial institutions will continue to have problems as long as prices keep coming down and more homes are enter foreclosure. Lenders have tightened up their standards, while home purchasers are reluctant to buy. The housing situation does not seem to be bottoming out.

April
24th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
526K 584K 575K 590K

For March
Provided by: US Census Bureau

New Home Sales m/m: -8.5%, forecast -1.0%, pr. -5.3% (rev. from-1.8%), -2.8% (Jan)

The annual rate of new home sales fell to a 17-year low. Also the previous posting was revised down heavily. The Month's Supply is now at a 27-year high of 11. This means, even as less and less houses are entering the market, inventory is still piling up. The housing market sees no bottom, but the market already knew that. The median sales price declined 13.3% from a year ago. Today's better than expected durable goods orders overshadowed the poor home sales data. The market's assessment of manufacturing demand has been mixed, making it more sensitive to unexpected figures.

March
26th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
590K 578K 601K 588K

For February
Provided by: US Census Bureau

New Home Sales m/m: -1.8%, forecast -1.7%, pr. -2.8% (Jan), -4.7% (Dec), -12.6% (Nov-R)

New home sales have been in a free fall the last 10 months, falling from a pace of almost a million in April to 588K in January. Expectations were for a 1.7% decline in January. Since January's total was revised up to 601K, February's 590K was still technically a fall for the month. However the total beat expectations of rate of 578K for the month.

The news though better than expected did little to change the Dollar's decline vs the Euro and Pound, and a fall in US stock markets as a result of earlier poor news in the form of negative Durable Goods Orders.

February
27th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
588K 600K 604K N/A

For January
Release from US Census Bureau

US New Home Sales data disappointed forecasts and fell to the lowest level in 12 years, adding more negative news to the Dollar which is experiencing broad weakness this week. 

"Sales of new one-family houses in January 2008 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 588,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development. This is 2.8 percent (±15.3%)* below the revised December rate of 605,000 and is 33.9 percent (±10.0%) below the January 2007 estimate of 890,000.

The median sales price of new houses sold in January 2008 was $216,000; the average sales price was $276,600. The seasonally adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of January was 482,000. This represents a supply of 9.9 months at the current sales rate."

January
28th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
604K 645K 634K 647K

For December.
Official Release from the US Department of Commerce

New Home Sales m/m: -4.7%, consensus: -0.3%, previous: -12.6% (Nov-R), 1.7% (Oct).

New Home Sales fell more than anticipated in December, dropping 4.7% from November to an annual pace of 604K. The consensus had been for a much smaller drop. It is the lowest level of new home sales in 12 years. November's number was revised down by 13K as well. The fundamental news from the housing front continues to give poor results, with no signs of bottoming out yet.

The median sales price tumbled 10.4% to $219,200 compared with December 2006. It marked the biggest year-over-year drop in the median sales price since 1970.

December
28th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
647K 718K 711K 728K
For November.
Release from US Census Bureau

New Home Sales m/m: -9.0%, forecast -1.6%, pr. 1.7%.

New Home Sales in November were 9.0% below the revised October rate, and is 34.4% below the November 2006 sales of 987,000. This is the slowest rate of new home sales in more than twelve years. Inventory remains high at 9.3 months supply.

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