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Indicator Digest

Factory Orders
Measures the value of new purchase orders for manufacturing goods, both durable and non-durable. factory orders are a key indicator to the strength of the industrial and manufacturing sectors of an economy.

Main Indicator: Factory Orders

Most Recent Release

March
4th, 2010
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.7% 1.4% 1.5% N/A

Table of Past Data

6/37/28/59/210/211/312/41/52/43/4
Actual0.7%1.2%0.4%1.3%-0.8%0.9%0.6%1.1%1.0%1.7%
Forecast0.9%0.2%-0.5%2.3%0.2%0.8%0.2%0.5%0.8%1.4%
Previous-1.9%0.5%1.1%0.9%1.3%-0.8%1.6%0.8%0.6%1.5%
Revised From-0.9%0.7%1.2%0.4%N/AN/A0.9%0.6%N/AN/A

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Past Releases

February
4th, 2010
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.0% 0.8% 0.6% N/A

For December
Provided by: US Census Bureau 
Most Current Release: PDF

Ex. Trans.: 1.2%, pr. 1.9% (Nov), 0.5% (Oct), 0.8% (Sep),
0.4% (Aug), -0.7% (Jul), 2.3% (Jun), 0.8% (May), 0.1% (Apr),
-0.9% (Mar), 1.6% (Feb), -0.9% (Jan), -4.4% (Dec), -6.5% (Nov)
January
5th, 2010
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.6%

For November
Provided by: US Census Bureau 
Current Release (Full): PDF

Ex. Trans.: 1.9%, pr. 0.5% (Oct), 0.8% (Sep), 0.4% (Aug), -0.7% (Jul),
2.3% (Jun), 0.8% (May), 0.1% (Apr), -0.9% (Mar), 1.6% (Feb),
-0.9% (Jan), -4.4% (Dec), -6.5% (Nov), -4.2% (Oct), -3.7% (Sep)
From the Release: New orders for manufactured goods in November, up seven of the last eight months, increased $3.9 billion or 1.1 percent to $365.3 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau reported today. This followed a 0.8 percent October increase. Excluding transportation, new orders increased 1.9 percent.
December
4th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.6% 0.2% 1.6% 0.9%

For October
Provided by: US Census Bureau
Current Release: PDF

Ex. Trans.: 0.5%, pr. 0.8% (Sep), 0.4% (Aug), -0.7% (Jul),
2.3% (Jun), |0.8% (May), 0.1% (Apr), -0.9% (Mar), 1.6% (Feb),
-0.9% (Jan), -4.4% (Dec), -6.5% (Nov), -4.2% (Oct), -3.7% (Sep)
November
3rd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.9% 0.8% -0.8% N/A

For September
Provided by: US Census Bureau
Official Release: PDF

Ex. Trans.: 0.8%, pr. 0.4%, pr. -0.7% (Jul), 2.3% (Jun), 0.8% (May),
0.1% (Apr), -0.9% (Mar), 1.6% (Feb), -0.9% (Ja, -4.4% (Dec),
-6.5% (Nov), -4.2% (Oct), -3.7% (Sep)

October
2nd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.8% 0.2% 1.3% N/A

For August
Provided by: US Census Bureau

Ex. Trans.: pr. -0.7% (Jul), 2.3% (Jun), 0.8% (May), 0.1% (Apr),
-0.9% (Mar), 1.6% (Feb), -0.9% (Ja, -4.4% (Dec), -6.5% (Nov),
-4.2% (Oct), -3.7% (Sep)
Ex. Defense: pr. 0.9% (Jul), 1.3% (Jun), 1.0% (May), 0.3% (Apr),
-0.9% (Mar), 0.9% (Feb), -0.5% (Jan), -5.0% (Dec), -6.6% (Nov),
-4.3% (Oct), -3.3% (Sep)

US factory orders declined 0.8% m/m in August, worse than market expectations, to $352.9 billion, after an upwardly revised 1.4% m/m gain in July, according to data from the Commerce Department. Excluding transportation, August factory orders increased 0.4% m/m, with gains in metals and machinery, following July’s revised 0.6% m/m decline. August factory orders fell 19.4% y/y.

September
2nd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4%

For July
Provided by: US Census Bureau

Ex. Trans.: -0.7%, pr. 2.3% (Jun), 0.8% (May), 0.1% (Apr),
-0.9% (Mar), 1.6% (Feb), -0.9% (Ja, -4.4% (Dec), -6.5% (Nov),
-4.2% (Oct), -3.7% (Sep)
Ex. Defense: 0.9%, pr. 1.3% (Jun), 1.0% (May), 0.3% (Apr),
-0.9% (Mar), 0.9% (Feb), -0.5% (Jan), -5.0% (Dec), -6.6% (Nov),
-4.3% (Oct), -3.3% (Sep)

US factory orders increased a less-than-expected 1.3% m/m to $355.5 billion in July, a fourth straight gain, after an upwardly revised 0.9% m/m advance in June, data from the Commerce Department showed. Excluding transportation, factory orders declined 0.7% m/m after June’s upwardly revised 2.7% m/m gain. July factory orders dropped 21.8% y/y.

August
5th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.4% -0.5% 1.1% 1.2%

For June
Provided by: US Census Bureau

Ex. Trans.: 2.3%, pr. 0.8% (May), 0.1% (Apr), -0.9% (Mar),
1.6% (Feb), -0.9% (Jan), -4.4% (Dec), -6.5% (Nov), -4.2% (Oct)
Ex. Defense: 1.3%, pr.  1.0% (May), 0.3% (Apr), -0.9% (Mar),
0.9% (Feb), -0.5% (Jan), -5.0% (Dec), -6.6% (Nov), -4.3% (Oct)
July
2nd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7%

For May
Provided by: US Census Bureau

Ex. Trans.: 0.8%, pr. 0.1% (Apr), -0.9% (Mar), 1.6% (Feb),
-0.9% (Jan), -4.4% (Dec), -6.5% (Nov), -4.2% (Oct), -3.7% (Sep)
Ex. Defense: 1.0%, pr. 0.3% (Apr), -0.9% (Mar), 0.9% (Feb),
-0.5% (Jan), -5.0% (Dec), -6.6% (Nov), -4.3% (Oct), -3.3% (Sep)
June
3rd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.7% 0.9% -1.9% -0.9%

For April
Provided by: US Census Bureau

Ex. Trans.: 0.1%, pr. -0.9% (Mar), 1.6% (Feb), -0.9% (Jan), -4.4% (Dec),
-6.5% (Nov), -4.2% (Oct), -3.7% (Sep), -3.3% (Aug), 1.0% (Jul)
Ex. Defense: 0.3%, pr. -0.9% (Mar), 0.9% (Feb), -0.5% (Jan), -5.0% (Dec),
-6.6% (Nov), -4.3% (Oct), -3.3% (Sep), -4.2% (Aug), 2.0% (Jul)

Factory orders rose 0.7% in April, the second increase in the past three months, though March's figure was revised down to show a bigger decrease of 1.9% than originally reported. The increase this month came on higher demand for automobiles, electrical equipment and construction machinery. Taking transportation goods, like cars and planes, out of the equation orders were up only 0.1%. With firms running down inventory, manufacturers are starting to see orders increase. The ISM manufacturing index rose to its highest level in 9 months in May, another signal that the sector may have hit a bottom during the 1st quarter.