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Indicator Digest

Factory Orders
Measures the value of new purchase orders for manufacturing goods, both durable and non-durable. factory orders are a key indicator to the strength of the industrial and manufacturing sectors of an economy.

Main Indicator: Industrial New Orders m/m

Most Recent Release

February
24th, 2010
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.8% -1.2% 2.7% N/A

For December
Provided by: Eurostat 
Official Release: PDF

y/y: 9.5%, forecast 7.6%, pr. -0.6% R+ (Dec), -14.5% (Nov),
-16.5% (Sep), -23.2% (Aug), -24.3% (Jul), -25.1% (Jun),
-30.3% (May), -35.5% (Apr), -26.9% (Mar), -34.2% (Feb)

Table of Past Data

5/266/257/228/249/2310/2311/241/61/222/24
Actual-0.8%-1.0%-0.2%3.1%2.6%2.0%1.5%-2.2%1.6%0.8%
Forecast0.8%0.0%1.9%1.7%2.1%1.3%0.7%-0.90.6%-1.2%
Previous0.0%- 0.2%-0.7%-0.5%4.0%2.6%0.6%1.7%-2.2%2.7%
Revised From-0.6%-0.8%-1.0%-0.2%3.1%N/A2.0%1.5%N/AN/A

Past Releases

January
22nd, 2010
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.6% 0.6% -2.2% N/A

For November
Provided by: Eurostat 
Official Release: PDF

y/y: -1.5%, pr. -14.5% (Nov), -16.5% (Sep), -23.2% (Aug),
-24.3% (Jul), -25.1% (Jun), -30.3% (May), -35.5% (Apr),
-26.9% (Mar), -34.2% (Feb), -34.1% (Jan), -22.3% (Dec),

January
6th, 2010
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-2.2% -0.9 1.7% 1.5%

For October
Provided by: Eurostat 
Official Release: PDF

y/y: -14.5%, pr. -16.5% (Sep), -23.2% (Aug), -24.3% (Jul),
-25.1% (Jun), -30.3% (May), -35.5% (Apr), -26.9% (Mar),
-34.2% (Feb), -34.1% (Jan), -22.3% (Dec), 26.2% (Nov)

From the release:
Monthly changes
In October 2009 compared with September 2009, new orders for intermediate goods increased by 1.5% in the euro area and by 1.0% in the EU27. Durable consumer goods rose by 0.6% in the euro area, but fell by 1.7% in the EU27. Non-durable consumer goods remained stable in the euro area, but declined by 1.4% in the EU27. Capital goods dropped by 4.6% and 1.8% respectively.
...
Annual changes

In October 2009 compared with October 2008, new orders for non-durable consumer goods fell by 6.4% in the euro area and by 5.9% in the EU27. Durable consumer goods declined by 14.2% and 9.5% respectively. Capital goods dropped by 15.0% in the euro area and by 15.4% in the EU27. Intermediate goods decreased by 16.4% and 15.4% respectively.
November
24th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.5% 0.7% 0.6% 2.0%

For September
Provided by: Eurostat
Official Release: PDF

y/y: -16.5%, forecast -17.3%, pr. -23.2% (Aug), -24.3% (Jul),
-25.1% (Jun), -30.3% (May), -35.5% (Apr), -26.9% (Mar),
-34.2% (Feb), -34.1% (Jan), -22.3% (Dec), 26.2% (Nov)

October
23rd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
2.0% 1.3% 2.6% N/A

For August
Provided by: Eurostat
Previous Release: PDF

y/y: -23.1%, forecast -22.5%, pr. -24.3% (Jul), -25.1% (Jun),
-30.3% (May), -35.5% (Apr), -26.9% (Mar), -34.2% (Feb),
-34.1% (Jan), -22.3% (Dec), 26.2% (Nov), -15.1% (Oct)

September
23rd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
2.6% 2.1% 4.0% 3.1%

For July
Provided by: Eurostat
Official Release: PDF

y/y: -24.3%, pr. -25.1% (Jun), -30.3% R- (May), -35.5% (Apr),
-26.9% (Mar), -34.2% (Feb), -34.1% (Jan), -22.3% (Dec),
26.2% (Nov), -15.1% (Oct), -2.4% (Sep), -0.7% (Aug), -1.2% (Jul)

August
24th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
3.1% 1.7% -0.5% -0.2%

For June
Provided by: Eurostat
Official Release: PDF

y/y: -25.1%, forecast -28.3%, pr. -30.3% R- (May), -35.5% (Apr),
-26.9% (Mar), -34.2% (Feb), -34.1% (Jan), -22.3% (Dec),
26.2% (Nov), -15.1% (Oct), -2.4% (Sep), -0.7% (Aug), -1.2% (Jul)

July
22nd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.2% 1.9% -0.7% -1.0%

For May
Provided by: Eurostat
Official Release: PDF

y/y: -30.1%, pr. -35.5% (Apr), -26.9% (Mar), -34.2% (Feb),
-34.1% (Jan), -22.3% (Dec), -26.2% (Nov), -15.1% (Oct),
-2.4% (Sep), -0.7% (Aug), -1.2% (Jul), -0.8% (Jun), -0.6% (May)

European industrial orders fell 0.2% in May, a figure that undershot the forecast of a 1.9% gain. On the year, orders fell 30.1%. The data shows that the Euro-zone manufacturing is still being pressured by weaker capital spending as companies reduce investment amid the global slowdown. Things were worse in the first quarter, when orders were down a record 35% in April, so look for these figures to improve for the 3rd quarter to see if the recovery in there is taking hold.

June
25th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-1.0% 0.0% - 0.2% -0.8%

For April
Provided by: Eurostat
Official Release: PDF

y/y: -35.5%, pr. -26.9% (Mar), -34.2% R (Feb), -34.1% (Jan),
-22.3% (Dec), -26.2% (Nov), -15.1% (Oct), -2.4% (Sep),
-0.7% (Aug), -1.2% (Jul), -0.8% (Jun), -0.6% (May), 4.0% (Apr)

Eurozone industrial new orders fell for a ninth consecutive month in April, unexpectedly falling 1.0% m/m, after an upwardly revised 0.2% m/m decline in March, data from Eurostat showed. Industrial new orders dropped a more-than-expected 35.5% y/y, following March’s upwardly revised 26.5% y/y decrease. Excluding volatile items, April industrial new orders dropped 0.9% m/m and 35.3% y/y.

May
26th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.8% 0.8% 0.0% -0.6%

For March
Provided by: Eurostat
Official Release: PDF

y/y: -26.9%, forecast -30.6%, pr. -34.2% R (Feb), -34.1% (Jan),
-22.3% (Dec), -26.2% (Nov), -15.1% (Oct), -2.4% (Sep), -0.7% (Aug),
-1.2% (Jul), -0.8% (Jun), -0.6% (May), 4.0% (Apr)

Euro-zone industrial orders declined for an 8th straight month in March, sliding 0.8% on the month. That undershot expectations of an increase. The annual rate showed orders down 26.9% which was better than forecasts, and slowed the pace of decline compared to January's and February's figures. Though the free fall in orders seems to have stopped, its too early to say that demand has reached a bottom. The first quarter showed Euro-zone growth contracting at the fastest pace in at least 13 years, led by cuts in output and jobs. A rebound in production numbers is a sign to look for in establishing any kind of recovery, though a move to positive orders will have to wait till at least April's release.