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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.3% | 1.4% | N/A | |||
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For May
Shop Prices m/m: 0.5%, pr. -0.5% (Apr), 0.4% (Mar), 1.2% (Feb),
From the Release: "In May the BRC-Nielsen Shop Price Index (SPI) reported annual inflation falling to 1.3% from 1.4% in April. This is the second consecutive month that inflation has slowed down. On a month-on-month basis prices increased 0.5% in May after falling 0.5% in April. Mike Watkins, Senior Manager, Retailer Services, Nielsen comments: "Fresh food inflation has now fallen for a third consecutive month. It appears that the pound's recent depreciation has had most of the effect it's going to on food prices and we are seeing the benefits of lower commodity prices working through to shop prices. With summer approaching, supermarkets are using high levels of promotions on seasonal lines to draw in customers which are also helping keep food prices lower. Non-food prices fell again but more slowly, suggesting that exchange rate depreciation is continuing to influence the prices of many imported non-food products." |
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| 9/3 | 10/8 | 11/5 | 12/3 | 1/7 | 2/4 | 3/4 | 4/8 | 5/5 | 6/2 | ||
| Actual | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | |
| Forecast | |||||||||||
| Previous | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.1% | -1.5% | -1.2% | N/A | ||
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For May
Provided by: Office of National Statistics
RPI m/m: 0.6%, forecast 0.2%, pr. 0.1% (Apr), 0.0% (Mar), 0.6% (Feb),
See Consumer Price Index for commentary. |
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| 8/12 | 9/16 | 11/18 | 12/16 | 1/20 | 2/17 | 3/24 | 4/21 | 5/19 | 6/16 | ||
| Actual | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -1.1% | |
| Forecast | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -0.5% | -1.2% | -1.5% | |
| Previous | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | -0.4% | -1.2% | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.2% | -1.2% | -0.4% | N/A | ||
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For April
Provided by: Office of National Statistics
RPI m/m: 0.1%, forecast 0.2%, pr. 0.0% (Mar), 0.6% (Feb), -1.3% (Jan),
See Consumer Price Index for commentary. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.4% | 2.0% | N/A | |||
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For April
Shop Prices m/m: pr. 0.4% (Mar), 1.2% (Feb), 0.2% (Jan), -2.0% (Dec),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.4% | -0.5% | 0.0% | N/A | ||
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For March
Provided by: Office of National Statistics
RPI m/m: 0.0%, forecast -0.2%, pr. 0.6% (Feb), -1.3% (Jan), -1.4% (Dec),
See Consumer Price Index for commentary. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.0% | 1.9% | N/A | |||
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For March
Shop Prices m/m: 0.4%, pr. 1.2% (Feb), 0.2% (Jan), -2.0% (Dec),
From the Release: " In March the BRC Nielsen Shop Price Index (SPI) reported annual inflation rising to 2.0% from 1.9% in February. This marks the fourth consecutive month of rising shop price inflation. Overall inflation is being driven entirely by the food component, while the rate of non-food deflation has continued to fall since its peak in December 2008.
The BRC's Director General, Stephen Robertson, said: "The shop price of food is increasing because retailers are paying more for their supplies. The majority of food consumed in the UK is sourced here, but the weak pound is pushing up prices for domestic produce as it becomes more attractive to overseas buyers and its increasing the cost of imports. The pound has fallen by around a quarter since summer 2007. "The good news for customers is food inflation is lower than its peak last year and non-food goods, such as clothing and electricals, are also still cheaper than they were a year ago." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.0% | -0.7% | 0.1% | N/A | ||
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For January
Provided by: Office of National Statistics
RPI m/m: 0.6%, forecast -0.1%, pr. -1.3% (Jan), -1.4% (Dec), -0.8% (Nov),
See Consumer Price Index for commentary. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.9% | 1.1% | N/A | |||
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For February
Shop Prices m/m: 1.2%, pr. 0.2% (Jan), -2.0% (Dec), 0.2% (Nov),
From the Release: "In February the BRC Nielsen Shop Price Index (SPI) reported annual inflation rising to 1.9% from 1.1% in January. After a period of falling inflation since the highs of last summer, the latest two months have seen a reversal of this trend. Food inflation increased to 9.0% in February from 7.5% in January, while the non-food category showed deflation of 1.7% compared with this time last year. On a month-on-month basis the overall price level increased by 1.2%. The food category showed inflation of 2.0%, while non-food reported inflation of 0.8%. The BRC's Director General, Stephen Robertson, said: "Increasing farmgate prices for fresh meat drove food inflation to its highest rate since September. The weak pound has made UK produce more attractive for overseas buyers, restricting supplies at home and pushing prices up. Non-food goods, especially electricals, continued to be cheaper than a year ago but prices fell more slowly as exchange rates increased the cost of imports and some discounts ended. But overall shop price inflation is still half its peak of last year." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.1% | -0.1% | 0.9% | N/A | ||
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For January
Provided by: Office of National Statistics
RPI m/m: -1.3%, forecast -1.5%, pr. -1.4% (Dec), -0.8% (Nov), -0.3% (Oct),
See Consumer Price Index for commentary. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.1% | 0.5% | N/A | |||
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For January
Shop Prices m/m: pr. -2.0% (Dec), 0.2% (Nov), -0.1% (Oct), 0.0% (Sep),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.9% | 0.7% | 3.0% | N/A | ||
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For November
Provided by: Office of National Statistics
RPI m/m: -1.4%, forecast -1.5%, pr. -0.8% (Nov), -0.3% (Oct), 0.6% (Sep),
See Consumer Price Index for commentary. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.5% | 2.7% | N/A | |||
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For December
Shop Prices m/m: -2.0%, pr. 0.2% (Nov), -0.1% (Oct), 0.0% (Sep),
From the Release: "In December the BRC Nielsen Shop Price Index (SPI) reported annual inflation slowing to 0.5% from 2.7% in November. The sharp deceleration reflects unprecedented levels of discounting on the High Street as well as the reduction in VAT. On a month-on-month basis the price level has been largely affected by heavy discounting in the run up to Christmas and the cut in VAT. The overall monthly index measured deflation of 2.0% in December compared with inflation of 0.2% in November. Huge discounting by retailers, together with the VAT reduction, brought non-food prices down dramatically. Goods in every category were much cheaper - both compared with the previous month and a year ago. Electricals, books and home entertainment prices were all around five per cent lower than last year. Food inflation fell again - to its lowest level since last May, due to lower oil and commodity prices. It's clear retailers are holding down shop prices at a time when many of their own costs are increasing. The Government shouldn't be adding cost burdens, such as record high business rate increases, at a time when margins are being severely squeezed." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | N/A | ||
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For November
Provided by: Office of National Statistics
RPI m/m: -0.8%, forecast -0.6%, pr. -0.3% (Oct), 0.6% (Sep), 0.3% (Aug),
See Consumer Price Index for commentary. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.7% | 3.0% | N/A | |||
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For November
Shop Prices m/m: 0.2%, pr. -0.1% (Oct), 0.0% (Sep), 0.5% (Aug),
From the Release: "High-profile discounting and falling prices for key commodities have
brought overall shop price inflation down even more from its peak in
August. The rate of food inflation has fallen by nearly a third in just
three months. Clothing, footwear and electricals are actually cheaper
than they were last year.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | N/A | ||
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For October
Provided by: Office of National Statistics
RPI m/m: -0.3%, forecast 0.1%, pr. 0.6% (Sep), 0.3% (Aug), -0.1% (Jul),
See Consumer Price Index for commentary. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 3.0% | 3.6% | N/A | |||
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For October
Shop Prices m/m: -0.1%, pr. 0.0% (Sep), 0.5% (Aug), 0.1% (Jul) From the Release:
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 3.6% | 3.8% | N/A | |||
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For September
Shop Prices m/m: 0.0%, pr. 0.5% (Aug), 0.1% (Jul) The pace of prices in shops in the UK decreased in September, falling from an annual pace of 3.8% in August to 3.6%. ON the year, food prices were 9.1% higher while non-food items were up only 0.8%. On the month, food prices were down 0.2% and non-food items rose 0.1%. The economists from the BRC are seeing a peak in inflation and call for the Bank of England to lower rates. That wish came true as the Bank of England in coordination with other central banks today lowered rates.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | N/A | ||
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For August
RPI m/m: 0.3%, forecast 0.4%, pr. -0.1% (Jul), 0.8% (Jun),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 3.8% | 3.2% | N/A | |||
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For August
Shop Prices m/m: 0.5%, pr. 0.1% From the Release: ""There is some comfort from these figures. For the first time since March the growth rate of food inflation slowed offering the prospect that we may be nearing the peak of food inflation. Despite retailers facing rising fuel and electricity bills, overall shop prices in August are well below the official rate of inflation, as retailers shield customers from the full effects of rising costs." "Over the summer we have seen other household bills increasing faster than shop prices. As a result, shoppers have started to limit spend on non-foods, seek out new promotional offers in food and also shop at different food retailers. Shop price inflation is likely to continue through the autumn but we are hopeful that the acceleration in cost prices that has driven food prices up so sharply is starting to slow." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | N/A | ||
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For July
RPI m/m: -0.1%, forecast -0.3%, pr. 0.8% (Jun), 0.5% (May), 0.9% (Apr) Retail pricces, just like the CPI, surprised on the upside, hitting 5% on an year-over-year basis for July. See "Consumer Price Index y/y" for more commentary.
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