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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.1% | -0.2% | 0.0% | N/A | ||
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Preliminary Version for June
CPI m/m: pr. 0.6% (Apr) 0.4% (Mar), 0.4% (Feb) -0.8% (Jan),
Core CPI y/y: pr. 1.8% (Apr), 1.5% (Mar), 1.7% (Feb), 1.6% (Jan),
The Euro-zone's consumer prices fell 0.1% in June, preliminary data showed. That is the first annual decline recorded since records began in 1996. The decline is led by the 50% decline in the price of oil in the past year, which lowers energy costs. Firms are cutting prices as well to attract business as the recession crimps consumer spending. The data does not suggest that the Euro-zone is headed for deflation as the dip into negative territory is likely temporary. However, soft inflation will keep the ECB from increasing interest rates. |
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| 2/27 | 3/2 | 3/16 | 3/31 | 4/16 | 4/30 | 5/15 | 5/29 | 6/16 | 6/30 | ||
| Actual | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% | |
| Forecast | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | -0.2% | |
| Previous | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | N/A | ||
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Final Version for May
CPI m/m: 0.1%, forecast 0.0%, pr. 0.4% (Apr), 0.4% (Mar), 0.4% (Feb)
Core CPI y/y: 1.5%, forecast 1.6%, pr. 1.8% (Apr),1.5% (Mar),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | N/A | ||
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Preliminary Version for May
CPI m/m: pr. 0.6% (Apr) 0.4% (Mar), 0.4% (Feb) -0.8% (Jan),
Core CPI y/y: pr. 1.8% (Apr), 1.5% (Mar), 1.7% (Feb), 1.6% (Jan),
The Euro-zone saw the annual pace of inflation hit zero for the first time in at least 13 years in May as energy costs retreated and companies cut prices in response to the recession. The Euro-zone began compiling the data in 1996. The rate reflects the 50% drop in energy prices over the past year. Though companies have been cutting their prices to lure customers, prospects of a rebound in growth can help slow that trend. Therefore the ECB may not be as concerned about deflation though a period of negative figures could be expected through the summer months. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | N/A | ||
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Final Version for April
CPI m/m: 0.4%, pr. 0.4% (Mar), 0.4% (Feb) -0.8% (Jan), -0.1% (Dec),
Core CPI y/y: 1.8%, pr. 1.5% (Mar), 1.7% (Feb), 1.6% (Jan), 1.8% (Dec),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | N/A | ||
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Preliminary Version for Apirl
CPI m/m: pr. 0.4% (Mar), 0.4% (Feb) -0.8% (Jan), -0.1% (Dec),
Core CPI y/y: pr. 1.5% (Mar), 1.7% (Feb), 1.6% (Jan), 1.8% (Dec),
The flash version of April's CPI showed the annual rate remaining at 0.6%, holding at its record low. Low inflation is a reflection of weak activity and will hurt revenues for stores and firms. The data, along with higher unemployment figures, adds pressure on the ECB when it meets next week to cut rates and introduce some form of quantitative easing. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | N/A | ||
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Revised Version for March
CPI m/m: 0.4%, pr. 0.4% (Feb) -0.8% (Jan), -0.1% (Dec), -0.5%, (Nov),
Core CPI y/y: 1.5%, pr. 1.7% (Feb), 1.6% (Jan), 1.8% (Dec), 1.9% (Nov),
The final version of Euro-zone consumer prices matched the preliminary estimate. On the year prices are up just 0.6%, with the core annual rate sliding to 1.5%. Both figures are showing very weak inflation giving the ECB more leeway to cut rates from 1.25%. On the month though, prices increased 0.4% for a second straight month. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | N/A | ||
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Flash Version for March
CPI m/m: pr. 0.4% (Feb) -0.8% (Jan), -0.1% (Dec), -0.5%, (Nov),
Core CPI y/y: pr. 1.7% (Feb), 1.6% (Jan), 1.8% (Dec), 1.9% (Nov),
European consumer prices slowed to an annual pace of 0.6%, preliminary data for the month of March showed. That is a record low for the index that goes back to 1996, and a rather modest decline from the 1.2% seen in February. The release did not include monthly, or core figures, and more detail regarding what moved the index will be available in about 2 weeks time. The data does give the ECB a new paradigm in that concerns over deflation may overpower the reluctance of the ECB to continue lowering interest rates and to move to quantitative easing. The UK and the US have already taken such steps. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | N/A | ||
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Final Version for February
CPI m/m: 0.4%, forecast 0.4%, pr. -0.8% (Jan), -0.1% (Dec), -0.5%, (Nov),
Core CPI y/y: 1.7%, forecast 1.6%, pr. 1.6% (Jan), 1.8% (Dec), 1.9% (Nov),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | N/A | ||
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Preliminary Version for February
CPI m/m: pr. -0.8% (Jan), -0.1% (Dec), -0.5%, (Nov), 0.0% (Oct),
Core CPI y/y: pr. 1.6% (Jan), 1.8% (Dec), 1.9% (Nov), 1.9% (Oct),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | N/A | ||
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Final Version for January
CPI m/m: -0.8%, forecast -0.8%, pr. -0.1% (Dec), -0.5%, (Nov), 0.0% (Oct),
Core CPI y/y: 1.6%, forecast 1.8%, pr. 1.8% (Dec), 1.9% (Nov), 1.9% (Oct),
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