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Main Indicator: Current Account
Most Recent Release
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 6.8B | 8.0B | 4.5B | 5.6B | ||
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Balance of Payments for 2nd Quarter
The current account in Canada widened to C$6.8 billion as higher prices for the country's commodities helped boost exports. "Once again, accelerating energy prices were the main factor behind the strength in the value of sales of goods to other countries. Despite a marginal decline in volumes, export values for crude petroleum were up $3.0 billion on strong price gains (+25%)." Still, the 1st quarter's figure was revised down and forecasts had the second figure coming in at C$8 billion.
The Canadian Dollar held its ground near 1.0450 during NY trading as the US releases a positive GDP report. |
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Table of Past Data
| 5/30 | 8/30 | 11/29 | 3/1 | 5/30 | 8/30 | 11/29 | 2/29 | 5/29 | 8/28 | ||
| Actual | 10.7B | 4.2B | 5.1B | 3.0B | 6.5B | 8.4B | 1.0B | -0.5B | 5.6B | 6.8B | |
| Forecast | 8.7B | 7.0B | 3.2B | 6.0B | 7.0B | 7.8B | 3.5B | 0.0B | 2.8B | 8.0B | |
| Previous | 13.3B | 10.7B | 4.2B | 5.3B | 4.6B | 6.1B | 6.3B | 1.3B | 0.8B | 4.5B | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3.0B | 6.5B | 8.4B | 1.0B | -0.5B | 5.6B | |
Past Releases
|
Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 5.6B | 2.8B | 0.8B | -0.5B | ||
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Balance of Payments for 1st Quarter
The Canadian Dollar got a boost following the better than expected release. The USD/CAD pair wiped away the gains the greenback has accumulated during the week and made the pair test support at 0.9820. From the Release: "The current account surplus with the rest of the world (on a seasonally adjusted basis) increased sharply to $5.6 billion in the first quarter of 2008, led by higher prices for several exported commodities combined with a lower travel deficit. The deficits on commercial services and investment income were largely unchanged. In the capital and financial account (not seasonally adjusted), foreign direct investment flows into Canada slowed significantly from the acquisitions-driven pace of the previous quarter, while Canadian direct investment abroad continued to strengthen. Canadian portfolio investors focused on foreign equities, while their non-resident counterparts' investment flows were dominated by federal bonds. The goods surplus widened to $13.4 billion during the first quarter, up strongly from the previous two quarters. Much of the increase came from gains on the export side that were again dominated by the growth in the value of exports of energy products." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.5B | 0.0B | 1.3B | 1.0B | ||
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Balance of Payments for 4th Quarter
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.0B | 3.5B | 6.3B | 8.4B | ||
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Balance of Payments for 3rd Quarter. The current account surplus for the 3rd quarter shrank dramatically, as the previous was largely revised down as well. The 1.0B surplus is the lowest since 2nd quarter of 2003. The large drop in goods surplus(-5.3billion) sent it to CAD$11.1 billion, the lowest since 2nd quarter of 1999. Exports of energy fell due to drop in price of natural gas, although volume partially offset the drop in value. Other energy products had lower volume and some commodity prices fell. Imports resumed an upward trend, adding to the deterioration of the surplus. The stronger Canadian dollar has made imports more attractive to Canada while exports less so to the world. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 8.4B | 7.8B | 6.1B | 6.5B | ||
| Canada's current account surplus increased by C$2.2 billion in the second quarter to C$8.4 billion. According to Statistics Canada, most of the gains came from a third consecutive improvement of the trade-in-goods surplus. It saw a C$1.6 billion increase to C$16.3 billion, which is the highest level since 4th quarter 2005. Imports declined by C$2 billion to C$102.8 billion and were the major cause for the better goods surplus. Exports remained virtually unchanged. For the second consecutive quarter, the services deficit declined slightly but remained near its record high. Canadians continued to invest strongly in foreign securities, acquiring C$23.8 billion of foreign bonds and stocks. Foreigners however, sold 4.8 billion of Canadian securities, the first divestment in two years. The divestment was mainly in Canadian bonds, with only slight reduction in stocks. | |||||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 6.5B | 7.0B | 4.6B | 3.0B | ||
| This is the highest surplus since Q1 of 2006. Exports gained mainly from energy products. | |||||
|
Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 3.0B | 6.0B | 5.3B | N/A |
|
Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 5.1B | 3.2B | 4.2B | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.2B | 7.0B | 10.7B | N/A | ||
| 2Q | |||||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 10.7B | 8.7B | 13.3B | N/A |
















