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Money Supply
There are different way to measure the growth of the money supply, with each country varying in their preferences. As more money is printed and put into circulation, it has an effect of increasing inflation, which would tend to lead to higher interest rates.

Main Indicator: M3 Money Supply y/y

Most Recent Release

December
30th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
7.8% 8.5% 8.7% N/A

For November
Provided by: European Central Bank
Official Release: PDF

Table of Past Data

2/273/314/255/297/258/289/2510/2711/2712/30
Actual11.5%11.3%10.3%10.6%9.9%9.3%8.8%8.6%8.7%7.8%
Forecast11.3%11.5%10.6%10.3%10.3%9.1%9.0%8.5%8.1%8.5%
Previous11.6%11.5%11.3%10.1%10.5%9.5%9.1%8.8%8.6%8.7%
Revised From11.5%N/AN/A10.3%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

Past Releases

November
27th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
8.7% 8.1% 8.6% N/A
October
27th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
8.6% 8.5% 8.8% N/A

For September

Provided by the European Central Bank
Current Release: PDF

From the release: The annual rate of growth of M3 decreased to 8.6% in September 2008, from 8.8% in August 2008.1 The three-month average of the annual growth rates of M3 over the period July 2008 - September 2008 declined to 8.9%, from 9.2% in the period June 2008 - August 2008.
September
25th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
8.8% 9.0% 9.1% N/A
August
28th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
9.3% 9.1% 9.5% N/A

For August (s.a.)
Provided by: European Central Bank

M3 s.a. (3M - July): 9.6%, forecast 9.5%, pr. 9.9%, 10.4% (May)

July
25th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
9.9% 10.3% 10.5% N/A

For July (s.a.)
Provided by: European Central Bank

M3 s.a. (3M - June): 9.5%, forecast 10.4%, pr. 10.4% (May), 10.7% (Apr), 11.0% (Mar)

May
29th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
10.6% 10.3% 10.1% 10.3%

For April (seasonally adjusted)
Provided by: European Central Bank
Official Release: PDF 

M3 s.a. (3 mon. avg.): 10.7%, forecast 10.7%, pr. 11.0% (rev from 11.1%)

From the Release: "The annual rate of growth of M3 increased to 10.6% in April 2008, from 10.1% in March 2008.1 The three-month average of the annual growth rates of M3 over the period February 2008 - April 2008 declined to 10.7%, from 11.0% in the period January 2008 - March 2008. Regarding the main components of M3, the annual rate of growth of M1 decreased to 2.5% in April 2008, from 2.9% in March. The annual rate of growth of short-term deposits other than overnight deposits increased to 20.2% in April, from 18.3% in the previous month. The annual rate of growth of marketable instruments decreased to 11.2% in April, from 11.8% in March."

April
25th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
10.3% 10.6% 11.3% N/A

For March (seasonally adjusted)
Provided by: European Central Bank

M3 s.a. (3 month average): 11.1%, forecast 11.0%, pr. 11.5% (rev from 11.4%)

Money supply tightened a bit in March. The closely watched 3 month average of M3 Money supply growth rate, also declined, pretty much in line with forecast. Loans extended to private sector edged down to an annual growth rate of 10.8%, down from 11.0%. Although credit conditions may have tightened money supply, the 3-month average is above ECB's reference level of 4.5% required to maintain price stability. With inflation at 3.6% y/y, significantly above 2.0%, the central bank is forced to be sidelined, even as the euro-zone growth shows downside risk.

March
31st, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
11.3% 11.5% 11.5% N/A

For February (seasonally adjusted)
Provided by: European Central Bank
Official Release: PDF

M3 s.a. (3 month average): 11.3%, forecast 11.5%, pr. 11.8%

Though inflation is running high in the Euro-zone, todays data showed money supply growth cooling. The annual pace in February was predicted to stay steady, and the 3 month average was expected to cool to 11.5%. Both figures were lower than expectations, as the ECB has not lowered rates in order to stimulate the economy through an increase in the money supply. This is in direct contrast to the US which has slashed rates, in order to shore up growth, and hoping that inflation will cool as a result of the slowdown in growth.

Today's preliminary data for inflation was higher than expected increasing 3.5% y/y in March. The data, along with a slew of other indicators from the Euro-zone, did not have much of an effect on the markets.

February
27th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
11.5% 11.3% 11.6% 11.5%

For January (seasonally adjusted)

M3 s.a. (3 month average): 11.8%, forecast 11.8%, pr. 12.1% 

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