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Purchasing Mangers Index
Measures the activity level of purchasing managers, which is a leading indicator of overall economic activity.

Main Indicator: Ivey PMI

Most Recent Release

October
6th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
61.0 51.0 51.5 N/A

For September
Latest Release from: Purchasing Management Association

Employment: 49.2, pr. 53 (Aug), 46.3 (Jul)
Inventories: 50.8, pr. 55.6 (Aug), 60.8 (Jul)
Deliveries: 44.6, pr. 40.2 (Aug), 36.5 (Jul)
Prices: 74.6, pr. 72.7 (Aug), 80.9 (Jul)

Table of Past Data

1/42/63/64/45/66/57/48/69/510/6
Actual45.956.262.059.057.662.569.965.551.561.0
Forecast51.547.055.062.554.058.862.262.561.751.0
Previous58.745.956.262.059.057.662.569.665.551.5
Revised FromN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

Past Releases

September
5th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
51.5 61.7 65.5 N/A

For August
Latest Release from: Purchasing Management Association

Employment: 53, pr. 46.3
Inventories: 55.6, pr. 60.8
Deliveries: 40.2, pr. 36.5
Prices: 72.7, pr. 80.9

Purchasing managers' activities grew at a tepid pace in August, as the index fell from 65.5 to 51.5. The subindexes showed an improvement in employment, and an easing in prices. The index remains above the boom-bust level of 50, as it has for the year so far, but is at the lowest point this year as well.

August
6th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
65.5 62.5 69.6 N/A
"Ivey Purchasing Managers Index" for July
Latest Release from: Purchasing Management Association
July
4th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
69.9 62.2 62.5 N/A
"Ivey Purchasing Managers Index" for June
Latest Release from: Purchasing Management Association
June
5th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
62.5 58.8 57.6 N/A
"Ivey Purchasing Managers Index" for May
Monthly Comment from: Purchasing Management Association of Canada

From the release:

The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index by the end of May, 2008 stood at 62.5. The corresponding figure for May 2007 was 62.7 and for May 2006 was 75.0.

The Employment index for May stood at 59.3, Inventories 55.2, Supplier Deliveries were 45.7 and Prices were 82.9.

The Ivey PMI is not adjusted for seasonality or inflation and shows responses to one question: "Were your purchases last month in dollars higher, the same, or lower than the previous month?" A figure above 50 shows an increase while below 50 shows a decrease.

 

May
6th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
57.6 54.0 59.0 N/A

"Ivey Purchasing Managers Index" for April
Monthly Comment from: Purchasing Management Association of Canada

The Canadian Dollar strengthened following its Ivey PMI index, which beat expectations, giving support to the health of the Canadian economy. The USD/CAD pair lurched 80 pips in the Loonie's favor, meeting support at 1.0050. Oil testing above the $120 per barrel level had been giving the Canadian currency underlying strenght earlier in the week. In the hours prior the report the pair had been consolidated near 1.01 and was actually strengthening in the greenback's favor before it plunged on the news. 

From the release:

The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index by the end of April, 2008 stood at 57.6. The corresponding figure for April 2007 was 60.9 and for April 2006 was 55.7. The Employment index for April stood at 54.3, Inventories 53.8, Supplier Deliveries were 42.9 and Prices were 80.7.

The Ivey PMI is not adjusted for seasonality or inflation and shows responses to one question: "Were your purchases last month in dollars higher, the same, or lower than the previous month?" A figure above 50 shows an increase while below 50 shows a decrease.
April
4th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
59.0 62.5 62.0 N/A

"Ivey Purchasing Managers Index" for March
Monthly Comment from: Purchasing Management Association of Canada

The Canadian Dollar gave back its earlier gains against the US Dollar after its Ivey PMI slowed to 59 in March. This surprised forecasts on the downside, and was 3 points of February's level. The Loonie had come close to parity after the release of US Nonfarm payroll data fell by more than expected. 

March
6th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
62.0 55.0 56.2 N/A

"Ivey Purchasing Managers Index" for February
Monthly Comment from: Purchasing Management Association of Canada

The Ivey PMI showed that 62% of purchasing managers had higher amounts of purchases. Its a welcome sign for those watching Candian growth, as the indicator has recovered from its fall low in December, and is back above the 60 level. The USD/CAD pair fell in favor of the Canadian Dollar following the news. The pair had been trending higher after it set a session low at .9815. In earlier NY trading, the pair had set a high following weaker building permits out of Canada.

February
6th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
56.2 47.0 45.9 N/A

"Ivey Purchasing Managers Index" for January.
Monthly Comment from: Purchasing Management Association of Canada

 

"The Ivey Purchasing Managers Index by the end of January, 2008 stood at 56.2.  The corresponding figure for January 2007  was 53.8 and for January 2006 was 54.1.

The Employment index for January stood at 52.8, Inventories were 50.7, Supplier Deliveries were 45.2 and Prices were 67.1.

The Ivey PMI is not adjusted for seasonality or inflation and shows responses to one question: "Were your purchases last month in dollars higher, the same, or lower than the previous month?" A figure above 50 shows an increase while below 50 shows a decrease."

 

 

January
4th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
45.9 51.5 58.7 N/A
For December.
Monthly Comment from Purchasing Management Association of Canada

December's Ivey PMI measure of 45.9, was a strong drop from its level in November. The Employment component fell from 62.2 to 48, inventories declined from 52.9 to 42.9, and deliveries were 4 points off November's 43.8. The prices component increased to 60.1 from November's 52.1.

The CAD fell 100 pips to the USD directly following the release. The USD/CAD pair reached above 1 in the 10 minutes following the release, before easing back down below parity.

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