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Main Indicator: Claimant Count Change
Most Recent Release
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 20.1K | 17.5K | 20.0K | 15.5K | ||
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For July
Claimant Un. Rate: 2.7%, forecast 2.6%, pr. 2.6% (Jun) , 2.6% (May) July's claimant count increased by highest level since the 71.4K in December 1992 and now totals 864,700, up 10,900 on the year. This is the sixth straight month of increase in unemployment claims and comes on the heel of an upwardly revised 20.0K in June. The claimant count unemployment rate also unexpected edged up to 2.7%, reflecting a wobbly labor market. |
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Table of Past Data
| 11/14 | 12/12 | 1/16 | 2/13 | 3/19 | 4/16 | 5/14 | 6/11 | 7/16 | 8/13 | ||
| Actual | -9.9K | -11.1K | -6.4K | -10.8K | -2.8K | -1.2K | 7.2K | 9.0K | 15.5K | 20.1K | |
| Forecast | -6.0K | -5.0K | -5.0K | -5.2K | -5.0K | -1.8K | 0.1K | 8.0K | 10.0K | 17.5K | |
| Previous | -13.9K | -9.9K | -10.0K | -8.7K | -9.1K | 0.6K | 3.6K | 11.2K | 14.3K | 20.0K | |
| Revised From | -12.8 | N/A | -11.1K | -6.4K | -10.8K | -2.8K | -1.2K | 7.2K | 9.0K | 15.5K | |
Past Releases
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 15.5K | 10.0K | 14.3K | 9.0K | ||
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For June
Claimant Count Unempl. Rate: 2.6%, forecast 2.6%, pr. 2.6% (Rev from 2.5%) The claimant count, the number of workers asking for unemployment benefits, rose by 15K in June. This is the largest jump since 1992, harking back to the last recession. The economic slowdown in the UK has caused claims for unemployment benefits to increase 5 months in a row. Losses were mainly based in construction as the housing market in the UK contracts and in financial companies catering to weaker consumer demand for loans and mortgages. The Bank of England is unable to bring relief in the form of lower rates as the UK battles high inflation.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 9.0K | 8.0K | 11.2K | 7.2K | ||
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For May
Claimant Count Unempl. Rate: 2.5% forecast 2.5%, pr. 2.5%
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 7.2K | 0.1K | 3.6K | -1.2K | ||
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For April
Claimant Count Unempl. Rate: 2.5%, forecast 2.5%, pr. 2.5% The number of people claiming unemployment benefits rose by 7,200 in April. Revised data for March and February showed that unemployment rose during those months (11,400 in the last 3 months). It's the first time since June 2006 that the Claimant count was positive for three month, and implies that the UK labor market is starting to loosen. With high inflation the central bank may not be able to lower rates at the pace they wanted in order to counter sputtering growth. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -1.2K | -1.8K | 0.6K | -2.8K | ||
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For March
From the Release: "The claimant count was 794,300 in March 2008, down 1,200 over the previous month and down 110,600 over the year. This is the lowest figure since June 1975." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -2.8K | -5.0K | -9.1K | -10.8K | ||
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For February
Unemployment fell for a 17th straight month as the claimant count fell 2,800 from January to a total of 793,500. This is the lowest total since June 1975. Expectations though were for a larger fall of 5,000 for the month. The unemployment rate remained at 5.2%, and average earnings, including bonuses, inched down to 3.7%. Continued strong employment helps the UK economy as consumers have more spending money and better security. Since the economy is feeling pressures from housing and other areas affected by higher credit costs, it is important that consumers are there to counter-balance those negative factors. In any case, growth is expected to slow to a pace of just 1.6% this year. February's change in the claimant count was relatively small and may soon turn positive if the economy's slowdown translates into job losses. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -10.8K | -5.2K | -8.7K | -6.4K | ||
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For January
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -6.4K | -5.0K | -10.0K | -11.1K | ||
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For December. Official Release from the Office of National Statistics "The claimant count was 807,700 in December 2007, down 6,400 over the previous month and down 131,400 over the year. This is the lowest figure since June 1975. The claimant count has now fallen for fifteen consecutive months." The UK labor market continues to be strong in the face of other problems in the economy after the "credit crunch." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -11.1K | -5.0K | -9.9K | N/A | ||
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For November. Official Release by Office for National Statistics Claimant Count Unemployment Rate: 2.5% (Nov), pr. 2.6% (Oct) Claims for jobless benefits dropped 11,100, double what economists had predicted. Companies continue adding more workers as the 4th quarter is expected to be strong before a downturn in 2008. The Claimant Count Unemployment Rate stood at 2.5%, the lowest in 32 years. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -9.9K | -6.0K | -13.9K | -12.8 | ||
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For October. Claimant Count Unemployment Rate: 2.6% (Oct), consensus 2.6%, pr. 2.6% (Sept) The number of workers seeking unemployment in the UK dropped by 9,900 for a jobless rate of 2.6% in October. It’s the 13th straight month of declines. |
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