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Labor Costs

Main Indicator: Wage Price Index q/q

Most Recent Release

August
12th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.2% 1.0% 0.9% N/A

For 2nd Quarter
Provided by: Australian Bureau of Statistics

WPI y/y: 4.2%, forecast 4.1%, pr. 4.1% (1Q), 4.2% (4th Q), 4.2% (3rd Q)

The Bureau of Statistics showed that wages exluding bonuses grew 1.2% in the June quarter, the biggest quarterly rise since the series began in 1997. Analysts see the central bank noting the annual increase of 4.2, which is within a manageable and familiar range and does not pose an inflation threa. 

Table of Past Data

5/168/1511/142/205/158/1411/132/195/138/12
Actual0.90%1.10%0.80%1.10%1.00%1.1%1.0%1.1%0.9%1.2%
Forecast1.10%1.10%0.90%0.90%1.30%1.0%1.0%1.1%1.1%1.0%
Previous0.90%0.90%1.10%0.80%1.10%1.0%1.1%1.0%1.1%0.9%
Revised FromN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

Past Releases

May
13th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.9% 1.1% 1.1% N/A

For 1st Quarter
Provided by: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Wage Price Index y/y: 4.1%, forecast 4.3%, pr. 4.2% (4th Q), 4.2% (3rd Q)

Wage inflation in the 1st quarter was lower in Australia than economists had forecast. Quarter-on-quarter the wage price index rose 0.9%, slower than the 1.1% seen in the 4th quarter. The annual pace declined to 4.1%, lower that the previous 2 quarters. Wages had been going up at a fast pace as Australia's commodity export sector is booming and demand for labor was strong. The tight labor market from the 4th quarter may have given way to expectations of a slowdown.   

February
19th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.1% 1.1% 1.0% N/A

For 4th Quarter
Provided by: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Wage Price Index y/y: 4.2%, pr. 4.2% (3rd Q)

Australian wages growth accelerated in the 4th quarter. This is another sign to the Reserve Bank of Australia that inflation, which has reached the fastest level since 1991, needs aggressive action. The bank is likely to increase rates from 7%, an 11-year high, when they meet next on March 4th. 

November
13th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.0% 1.0% 1.1% N/A
For 3rd Quarter.

Wage Price Index y/y: 4.2% (3rd Q), forecast 4.2%, pr. 4.0% (2nd Q)

August
14th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.1% 1.0% 1.0% N/A
Seasonally adjusted for the June quarter, private sector wage index rose 1.0% while the public sector's index grew 1.1%. Electricity, gas and water supply industry employee wages grew 2.0%. The index for this year's June quarter is 4.0% higher than that of the 2006 June quarter.
May
15th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.00% 1.30% 1.10% N/A
National minimum wage had been increased effectively Dec 1, 2006. Set by the Australian Fair Pay Commission (AFPC), the ruling has caused some wage changes in the March 2007 quarter. Pay increases were higher this quarter than last years March quarter.
February
20th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.10% 0.90% 0.80% N/A
November
14th, 2006
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.80% 0.90% 1.10% N/A
August
15th, 2006
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.10% 1.10% 0.90% N/A
May
16th, 2006
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.90% 1.10% 0.90% N/A

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