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Indicator Digest

Gross Domestic Product
GDP is the broadest measures of the economy, encompassing every sector of the economy, such as consumer spending, business and residential investment. Increased growth relates to better corporate profits, stock growth, and eventually wages.

Main Indicator: Gross Domestic Product

Most Recent Release

June
30th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.1% -0.1% -0.3% N/A

Monthly Rate For April
Provided by: Statistics Canada
Official Release: Press Release

From the Release: "Real gross domestic product declined 0.1% in April. This follows decreases of 0.3% in March and 0.1% in February, and more pronounced declines between November 2008 and January 2009. Declines in manufacturing, the energy sector and retail trade were the main contributors to the April decrease. Increases in the activities of real estate agents and brokers and wholesale trade mitigated the drop."

Table of Past Data

9/3010/3112/112/241/303/23/314/306/16/30
Actual0.7%-0.3%0.1%-0.1%-0.7%-1.0%-0.7%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%
Forecast0.2%-0.3%0.2%-0.3%-0.4%-0.5%-0.6%-0.1%-0.3%-0.1%
Previous0.1%0.7%-0.3%0.1%-0.1%-0.7%-1.0%-0.7%-0.1%-0.3%
Revised FromN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

Past Releases

June
1st, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.3% -0.3% -0.1% N/A

Monthly Rate For March
Provided by: Statistics Canada
Official Release: Press Release

From the Release: "Real gross domestic product (GDP) declined 1.4% in the first quarter, the largest quarterly decrease since 1991. Both domestic and international demand continued to weaken. Real GDP fell 0.3% in March. The declines in February and March were less pronounced than those in the preceding three months.

Lower spending in Canada and the United States, particularly business investment in plant and equipment, led to a sharp decline in Canada's exports and imports. Business investment in Canada fell at the fastest rate since 1982. Final domestic demand was down 1.5% as personal spending, particularly on durable goods, continued to decline. Corporate and personal income also fell in the quarter."

 

April
30th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.1% -0.1% -0.7% N/A

Monthly Rate For February
Provided by: Statistics Canada
Official Release: Press Release

From the Release: "Real gross domestic product edged down 0.1% in February. Economic activity has declined by 2.4% since October 2008.

A 19% rise in motor vehicle and associated parts manufacturing in February was not enough to outweigh declines in construction and in mining activities (excluding oil and gas). Wholesale and retail trade and several major groups of the manufacturing sector also declined. Conversely, oil and gas extraction and some tourism-related industries advanced. The finance and insurance sector as well as the public sector were unchanged."

March
31st, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.7% -0.6% -1.0% N/A

Monthly Rate For January
Provided by: Statistics Canada
Official Release: Press Release

From the Release: "Real gross domestic product declined 0.7% in January following decreases of 1.0% in December 2008 and 0.7% in November 2008.

The output of manufacturing, especially of motor vehicle and associated parts industries, as well as wholesale trade and construction were the main contributors to the January drop. The finance and insurance sector, transportation, mining (excluding oil and gas extraction), and accommodation and food services also retreated. Economic activity increased in retail trade, oil and gas extraction and the public sector."

March
2nd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-1.0% -0.5% -0.7% N/A

Monthly Rate For December
Provided by: Statistics Canada
Official Release: Press Release

GDP q/q: -0.8% pr. 0.3% (3Q), 0.1% (2Q), -0.2% (1Q)
Annualized GDP: -3.4%, forecast -3.5%, pr. 1.3% (3Q), 0.6% (2Q)

From the Release: "Real gross domestic product (GDP) declined 0.8% in the fourth quarter, weakening progressively each month. This was the sharpest quarterly decline since 1991. Declines in exports, capital investment and personal expenditures all contributed to the economic contraction. Final domestic demand fell 1.2%. Government current and capital expenditure rose. Real GDP declined 1.0% in December.

The Canadian economy contracted at an annualized rate of 3.4% in the fourth quarter, compared with a 6.2% decline in the US economy.

Real GDP dropped 1.0% in December, as almost all major sectors reduced production. This follows a 0.7% decline in November. The output of manufacturing, retail trade, construction and wholesale trade were the main sources behind the December drop. Reduced activity was also recorded in transportation, mining excluding oil and gas extraction, accommodation and food services, and forestry. The public sector (health, education and public administration combined) advanced while the finance and insurance sector was unchanged."

January
30th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.7% -0.4% -0.1% N/A

Monthly Rate For November
Provided by: Statistics Canada
Official Release: Press Release

From the Release: "Real gross domestic product fell 0.7% in November as essentially all major sectors reduced production.

The output of manufacturing, wholesale trade, construction and real estate agents and brokers were the main contributors to the November decrease. The transportation, energy, retail trade, finance and insurance sectors also retreated. On the other hand, economic activity advanced slightly for some tourism-related industries, agriculture and the public sector (health, education and public administration combined)."

December
24th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.1% -0.3% 0.1% N/A

Monthly Rate For October
Provided by: Statistics Canada
Official Release: Press Release

From the Release: "Real gross domestic product by industry declined 0.1% in October after increasing 0.1% in September.

Declines in wholesale trade, manufacturing and in the output of real estate agents and brokers contributed the most to the October decrease. Residential construction and retail trade also retreated. On the other hand, economic activity advanced in several service industries while the output of the energy sector regained some of the ground lost in the previous two months."

December
1st, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.1% 0.2% -0.3% N/A

Monthly Rate For September
Provided by: Statistics Canada
Official Release: Press Release

Annualized GDP: 1.3%, forecast 1.1%, pr. 0.6%

From the Release: "Canadian producers increased their output in the third quarter. The production of goods rebounded in the third quarter following four consecutive quarterly declines. The increase was led by the mining sector, notably support activities for oil and gas extraction, as well as construction. The manufacturing sector edged up while forestry continued its decline. Production in the services industries continued to grow, with notable gains in the public sector and, to a lesser extent, in retail trade and wholesale trade.

Economic growth has been weak since the beginning of the year, as foreign demand has weakened and growth of domestic demand has slowed. Exports declined for the fifth consecutive quarter and growth of final domestic demand decelerated to 0.1%, largely as a result of a slowdown in consumer expenditure.

The instability of world financial markets did not appear to have a significant impact on funds borrowed in domestic financial markets in the third quarter. Funds borrowed by the domestic non-financial sectors on financial markets slowed. The fluctuation was similar to that which has typically been observed in the past."

October
31st, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.3% -0.3% 0.7% N/A

Monthly Rate For August
Provided by: Statistics Canada
Official Release: Press Release

From the Release: "Real gross domestic product continued the seesaw pattern observed since December 2007 with a 0.3% decline in August, partly reversing the 0.7% increase in July. Wholesale trade, manufacturing, and the energy sector, which were the main contributors to the July increase, all retreated in August. Some transportation industries, such as rail and truck transportation, were affected by the downturn in these sectors. Conversely, accommodation and food services advanced as did the public sector. Finance and insurance, and retail trade were unchanged.

Output of the energy sector decreased 0.5% in August after increasing 2.7% in July, which accounted for a large part of the July growth in total economic activity. Petroleum and natural gas extraction both declined and the pipeline transportation of natural gas dropped significantly.

Wholesaling dropped 3.1% in August, more than offsetting its July gain. A significant decrease in the wholesaling of automotive products accounted for about three-quarters of the drop. Imports of automotive products, which rose significantly in July, returned to levels of recent months, while exports and retailing activities declined. The wholesaling of building materials and of personal and household goods also decreased."

September
30th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.7% 0.2% 0.1% N/A

For the Month of July
Provided by: Statistics Canada
Official Release: Press Release

Canadian GDP rose 0.7% on the month of July, which handily beat forecasts of a 0.2% increase. Gains were led by increased energy production (3.1%), manufacturing (1.3%), wholesale trade (1.9%), and the financial sector (0.3%). Construction and retail sales remained unchanged.

From the Release: "Real gross domestic product increased 0.7% in July after advancing 0.1% in June and retreating 0.1% in May. The energy sector, which has been trending down during the last four quarters, accounted for almost half of the July increase. Manufacturing and wholesaling industries also contributed significantly to the advance.

Output of the energy sector increased 3.1% in July. Oil production grew following the completion of maintenance at petroleum production facilities in Eastern and Western Canada in June. Following three consecutive monthly declines, natural gas extraction was up sharply, as storage levels were being replenished. Services to oil and gas extraction facilities were up significantly as rigging activities surged in July, while contract drilling dipped slightly."