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Indicator Digest

Wages
Following the changes in workers wages is an important factor to overall inflation. As salaries increase, consumers spend more, and thereby exert upward pressure on retail prices. Higher wages also improve consumer sentiment and bolster overall economic growth.

Main Indicator: Labor Costs q/q

Most Recent Release

February
1st, 2010
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.3% 0.5% 0.4% N/A

Table of Past Data

11/42/45/48/311/22/15/58/311/22/1
Actual0.9%1.1%0.7%0.8%1.1%0.7%0.5%0.3%0.4%0.3%
Forecast0.8%0.9%0.7%0.8%0.8%0.9%0.6%0.5%0.3%0.5%
Previous0.8%0.9%1.1%0.7%0.8%1.1%0.7%0.5%0.3%0.4%
Revised FromN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

Past Releases

November
2nd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.4% 0.3% 0.3% N/A
August
3rd, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.3% 0.5% 0.5% N/A

For 2nd Quarter
Provided by: Statistics New Zealand
Previous Release: PDF

Labour Cost Index y/y: pr. 3.3% (4Q), 3.6% (3Q), 3.5% (2Q), 3.5% (1Q)
Avg. Hourly Earnings q/q: pr. 0.8% (4Q), 1.1% (3Q), 2.0% (2Q), 1.1% (1Q)

May
5th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.5% 0.6% 0.7% N/A

For 1st Quarter
Provided by: Statistics New Zealand
Previous Release: PDF

Labour Cost Index y/y: pr. 3.3% (4Q), 3.6% (3Q), 3.5% (2Q), 3.5% (1Q)
Avg. Hourly Earnings q/q: pr. 0.8% (4Q), 1.1% (3Q), 2.0% (2Q), 1.1% (1Q)

February
1st, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.7% 0.9% 1.1% N/A

For 4th Quarter
Provided by: Statistics New Zealand
Official Release: PDF

Labour Cost Index y/y: 3.3%, pr. 3.6% (3Q), 3.5% (2Q), 3.5% (1Q)
Avg. Hourly Earnings q/q: 0.8%, pr. 1.1% (3Q), 2.0% (2Q), 1.1% (1Q)

November
2nd, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.1% 0.8% 0.8% N/A

For 3rd Quarter
Provided by: Statistics New Zealand
Official Release: HTML PDF

Labour Cost Index y/y: 3.6%, pr. 3.5% (2Q), 3.5% (1Q)
Avg. Hourly Earnings q/q: 1.1%, forecast 1.2%, pr. 2.0% (2Q), 1.1% (1Q)

From the Release: "The Labour Cost Index (LCI) showed a rise of 3.6 percent in salary and wage rates (including overtime) from the September 2007 quarter to the September 2008 quarter (in the year to the September 2008 quarter). This annual increase is the largest since the series began in the December 1992 quarter, surpassing the previous record increase of 3.5 percent in the year to the June 2008 quarter. In comparison, the Quarterly Employment Survey (QES) average hourly earnings increased 5.5 percent in the year to the September 2008 quarter.

In the LCI, salary and wage rates (including overtime) increased 1.1 percent in the September 2008 quarter. This is the equal-largest quarterly increase since the series began, matching the 1.1 percent increase in the December 2007 quarter. This follows increases of 0.8 percent and 0.7 percent in the June 2008 and March 2008 quarters, respectively."

August
3rd, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.8% 0.8% 0.7% N/A

For 2nd Quarter
Provided by: Statistics New Zealand
Official Release: Media Release

Labour Cost Index y/y: 3.5%, forecast 3.6%, pr. 3.5%
Avg. Hourly Earnings q/q: 2.0%, forecast 1.4%, pr. 1.1%
Avg. Hourly Earnings y/y: 5.2%

The Labour Cost Index increased 0.8% in the 2nd quarter, meeting expectations for the 2nd quarter. On an annual basis the LCI remained steady at a 3.5% pace, which is still the fastest pace since the series began in 1992.

May
4th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.7% 0.7% 1.1% N/A

1st Quarter
Provided by: Statistics New Zealand
Official Release: Highlights and Data

February
4th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.1% 0.9% 0.9% N/A

4th Quarter
Highlights from the Statistics New Zealand

Labor Costs y/y: 3.4%

In the year to the December 2007 quarter salary and wages (including overtime) increased 3.4%. For the quarter, labor costs increased 1.1%. The finance and insurance industries saw a higher growth rate of 6.3%.

November
4th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.9% 0.8% 0.8% N/A
For 3rd Quarter

Higher than expected wage inflation is not alarming since there is a shortage of workers.