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Housing Starts
Housing starts measures the construction of new homes. When more new homes are being built, the construction sector is active, and consumers have the capital to afford taking on such investments. When new homes are finished, they have other effects on the economy as those homes have to be filled with furniture and appliances, boosting other sectors of the economy.

Main Indicator: Housing Starts

Most Recent Release

July
9th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
218 217.5K 228K 221K

For June
Provided by: Mortgage and Housing Corporation
Official Release: News Release

From the Release: "The seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of housing starts was 217,800 units in June, down from 227,700 units in May, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

“Despite the decrease in June, total housing starts remain at high levels.” said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist at CMHC’s Market Analysis Centre. “This is mostly due to the multiple segment which has been continuously above the 100,000 unit threshold since the beginning of the year.”

The seasonally adjusted annual rate of urban starts moved down by 5.0 per cent in June compared to May. Both urban multiples and singles decreased, with a decline of 3.0 per cent for multiples to 114,700 units, and a 7.8 per cent drop for singles to 74,600 units."

USD/CAD - Loonie Gains 100 Pips on Greenback, Strongest Session in a Week: The Loonie took the offensive against the greenback, with the US Dollar-Canadian Dollar pair sliding 100 pips to trade near 1.01. It's the biggest move in favor of the Loonie about a week, as the Canadian housing starts release, corresponded with higher oil prices and general US Dollar weakness in today's session.

USD/CAD

Next Release Date: August 11th 2008, 8:15 EST

Table of Past Data

10/911/812/101/92/83/104/85/86/97/9
Actual278K220K228K188K223K257K255K213.9K221K218
Forecast220K230K220K220K210K204K225K225K220K217.5K
Previous233K281K228K228K185K223K257K243K214K228K
Revised From227KN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A255KN/A221K

Past Releases

June
9th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
221K 220K 214K N/A

For May
Provided by: Mortgage and Housing Corporation
Official Release: News Release

Housing starts in Canada rose 3.5% in May, lifted by a suge in single starts. In seasonally adjusted terms, single starts were up 7.3% to about 78K units, while urban multiple starts grew 1.9% to about 116K units. From the releae:
For the first five months of 2008, actual starts in rural and urban areas combined were up an estimated 0.7 per cent compared to the same period last year. Year-to-date actual starts in urban areas have increased by an estimated 5.6 per cent over the same period in 2007. Actual urban single starts for the five months of this year were 14.8 per cent lower than they were a year earlier, while multiple starts increased by 22.7 per cent over the same period.
May
8th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
213.9K 225K 243K 255K
For April
Provided by: Mortgage and Housing Corporation
March's Release: News Release

The annual rate of housing starts declined by 12% in April, as multiple dwelling starts fell 19%. Multiple starts had recorded the 2nd and 3rd highest rate for March and February, since 1978, but retreated in April. despite the poor figures, Bob Dugan, the Chief Economist at CMHC's Market Analysis Centre, maintained that housing starts " remain robust at over 200,000 units."

From the release:
The seasonally adjusted annual rate of urban starts went down in all regions of Canada, except British Columbia, which saw an increase of 17.1 per cent to 34,900 in April. Urban starts decreased to 7,500 units in Atlantic Canada, 37,600 units in Quebec, 73,000 units in Ontario, and 32,400 units in the Prairies. In terms of single urban starts, all regions except Quebec were down in April. Quebec registered an increase of 9.3 per cent to 12,900 units.

 

April
8th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
255K 225K 257K N/A

For March
Provided by: Mortgage and Housing Corporation
Official Release: News Release 

From the Release:

"The seasonally adjusted annual rate1 of housing starts was 254,700 units in March, slightly down from 255,600 units in February, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

“The high level of starts posted in February continued in March, thanks to the multiple segment and particularly condominium starts, which registered a significant rise in Alberta” said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist at CMHC's Market Analysis Centre. “Nevertheless, the single-detached component, which is usually a strong trend indicator, decreased slightly. This is consistent with our view that the housing market will moderate gradually throughout 2008.”

The results for March came in higher than expected, showing a resiliency in the Canadian housing market, despite the severe slowdown in the US. The USD/CAD pair has been trending up this week so far, though today's trading is somewhat sideways, with the housing start news, and the NY open giving the Loonie some small boost.  

March
10th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
257K 204K 223K N/A

For February

Provided by: Mortgage and Housing Corporation

"“New home construction in February was boosted by the significant rise in multiple-family starts,” said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist at CMHC’s Market Analysis Centre. “The robust results achieved this month are mainly attributed to increased condominium starts, which reflect strong condominium sales over the past year or two. Despite this sizeable growth in February, we continue to expect that the trend in housing starts will decrease gradually between now and the end of 2008.”"

February
8th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
223K 210K 185K N/A

For December.

Provided by: Mortgage and Housing Corporation
Official Release

"The seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts was 222,700 units in January, up from 184,700 units in December, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

“Historically low mortgage rates, solid employment and income growth as well as a high level of consumer confidence continue to underpin the high level of housing starts”, said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist at CMHC’s Market Analysis Centre. “Housing starts in January returned to a level more consistent with our expectation that housing starts will total 211,700 units in 2008, remaining above the 200,000 mark for the seventh consecutive year.”"

 

January
9th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
188K 220K 228K N/A
For December.
Official Release from Mortgage and Housing Corporation

Although December's annually adjusted rate of housing starts slumped, the total housing starts for 2007 are estimated at 229,600 according to the CMHC. This is the highest level in two decades. December's starts were dragged down by winter related weakness in residential construction, consisting of the volatile multiples segment and single-detached starts.
December
10th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
228K 220K 228K N/A
For November
Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation

The Canadian housing market appears to be stable according to the CMHC. Bob Dugan, Chief Economist at the CMFC's Market Analysis Centre, noted "the strength in November is attributable to the good performance of single-detached home starts, which reached their highest level since March 2006.". Urban single starts, up 12.8% offset the decrease in multiple starts, which dropped 9.8%.
November
8th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
220K 230K 281K N/A
For October.
October
9th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
278K 220K 233K 227K
Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate for September.

September housing starts increased by 19.6% from August. It was led by strong condominium starts, as condos have been selling well the past 12 to 24 months, according to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corportation. "Despite the sizable growth in September, we continue to expect that housing starts will decrease gradually between now and the end of 2008" said Bob Dugan, Chief Economist at CMHC's Market Analysis Center.

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