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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 42.1 | 40.2 | 38.8 | N/A | ||
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For February
Outlook: 44.8%, pr. 41.9 (Jan), 36.3 (Dec), 34.5 (Nov), 42.8 (Oct),
The Japanese leading economic indicators index, a measure of future economic activity, rose to a higher-than-expected 97.1 in January, an eleventh straight monthly rise, from 94.3 in December, according to preliminary January LEI data released by the Cabinet Office. The coincident index, measuring present economic activity, increased to 99.9 in January, a tenth consecutive monthly advance, from 97.4 a month earlier, registering the longest streak of gains since 1997. |
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| 6/8 | 7/8 | 8/10 | 9/8 | 10/8 | 11/10 | 12/8 | 1/12 | 2/8 | 3/8 | ||
| Actual | 36.7 | 42.2 | 42.4 | 41.7 | 43.1 | 40.9 | 33.9 | 35.4 | 38.8 | 42.1 | |
| Forecast | 34.0 | 38.1 | 43.4 | 42.5 | 43.9 | 40.3 | 34.2 | 35.9 | 40.2 | ||
| Previous | 34.2 | 36.7 | 42.2 | 42.4 | 41.7 | 43.1 | 40.9 | 33.9 | 35.4 | 38.8 | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 4.3 | 15.3 | 13.2 | N/A | ||
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For 1st Quarter
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| 3/23 | 6/22 | 9/23 | 12/23 | 3/22 | 6/21 | 9/16 | 12/23 | 3/17 | |||
| Actual | -12.9% | -15.1 | -10.0 | -44.5 | -66.0 | -13.2 | 15.5 | 4.3 | |||
| Forecast | -17.0 | -17.0 | -12.0 | -47.3 | -11.4 | 11.2 | 15.3 | ||||
| Previous | 5.2 | -12.9 | -15.1 | -10.0 | -44.5 | -66.0 | -13.2 | 15.5 | 13.2 | ||
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | ||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 38.8 | 35.9 | 35.4 | N/A | ||
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For January
Outlook: 41.9, pr. 36.3 (Dec), 34.5 (Nov), 42.8 (Oct), 44.5 (Sep),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 35.4 | 34.2 | 33.9 | N/A | ||
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For December
Outlook: 36.3, pr. 34.5 (Nov), 42.8 (Oct), 44.5 (Sep), 44.0 (Aug),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 11.2 | 15.5 | N/A | |||
| For 4th Quarter | |||||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 33.9 | 40.3 | 40.9 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 40.9 | 43.9 | 43.1 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 43.1 | 42.5 | 41.7 | N/A | ||
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For September
Provided by: Economy Watchers Outlook: 44.5, pr. 44.0 (Aug), 44.9 (Jul), 45.6 (Jun), 43.3 (May), 39.7 (Apr), 35 (Mar), 26.5 (Feb), 22.1 (Jan), 17.6 (Dec), 24.7 (Nov), 25.2 (Oct), 32.1 (Sep), 32.0 (Aug), 30.8 (Jul) |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 15.5 | -11.4 | -13.2 | N/A | ||
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For 3rd Quarter
BSI Large All Industry: 0.3, pr. -22.4 (2Q), -51.3 (1Q), -35.7 (4Q),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 41.7 | 42.4 | N/A | |||
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For August
Provided by: Economy Watchers Outlook: 44.0, pr. 45.6 (Jun), 43.3 (May), 39.7 (Apr), 35 (Mar), 26.5 (Feb), 22.1 (Jan), 17.6 (Dec), 24.7 (Nov), 25.2 (Oct), 32.1 (Sep), 32.0 (Aug), 30.8 (Jul) |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 42.4 | 43.4 | 42.2 | N/A | ||
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For July
The Economy Watchers Index edged up to a 22-month high of 42.4 in July from 42.2 in June. This however was less than the 43.4 economists had expected. Prime Minister Taro Aso's 25 trillion yen stimulus is keeping sentiments afloat but there is gloom ahead as salaries are being cut and the jobless rate is climbing. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 42.2 | 38.1 | 36.7 | N/A | ||
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For June
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -13.2 | -66.0 | N/A | |||
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For 2st Quarter
BSI Large All Industry: -22.4, pr. -51.3 (1Q), -35.7 (4Q), -10.2 (3Q),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 36.7 | 34.0 | 34.2 | N/A | ||
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For May
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -66.0 | -47.3 | -44.5 | N/A | ||
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For 1st Quarter
BSI Large All Industry: -51.3, pr. -35.7 (4Q), -10.2 (3Q), -15.2 (2Q),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -44.5 | -12.0 | -10.0 | N/A | ||
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For 4th Quarter
BSI Large All Industry: -35.7, pr. -10.2 (3Q), -15.2 (2Q), -9.3% (1Q) Confidence among Japanese manufacturers fell the most on record in the 4th quarter, as exports collapsed amid a deepening global recession. The BSI sentiment index fell to -44.5 this quarter compared with -10 in the 3rd quarter. Exports were down 26.7% on the year in November as demand from the US, Europe and even China plummeted. With the Japanese Yen appreciating strongly in the second half of the year as a result of the financial crisis, it means Japanese goods will be more expensive abroad further depressing export growth. Consumers and companies within Japan are cutting back on spending as well, as households save in the face of increasing unemployment and a recession. Companies are expected to scale back investment spending this year by 2.4% the survey showed which would make it the first time since the BSI survey began in June 2004. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -10.0 | -17.0 | -15.1 | N/A | ||
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For 3rd Quarter
BSI Large All Industry (1Q): -10.2, pr. -15.2 (2Q), -9.3% (1Q) |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -15.1 | -17.0 | -12.9 | N/A | ||
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For 2nd Quarter BSI Large All Industry (1Q): -15.2, pr. -9.3% (1Q) Sentiment among large companies in Japan fell to -15.1 for the 2nd quarter, which is the lowest since this series began being kept in its current form in 2004. The index subtracts the percentage of large companies reporting deteriorating business conditions from the percentage of those reporting improvement and covers 14,900 companies. Smaller companies are having a hard time as they face rising input costs and in an environment of slowing growth are unable to raise prices for fear sales will falter. Companies see weaker corporate profits ahead with manufacturers the most pessimistic. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -12.9% | 5.2 | N/A | |||
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For 1st Quarter BSI Large All Industry (1Q): -9.3%, pr 0.5% |
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