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Main Indicator: ZEW Economic Sentiment
Most Recent Release
|
Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -40.9 | -55.0 | -55.7 | N/A | ||
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For September
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Table of Past Data
| 12/11 | 1/15 | 2/12 | 3/11 | 4/15 | 5/20 | 6/17 | 7/15 | 8/19 | 9/16 | ||
| Actual | -35.7 | -41.7 | -41.4 | -35.0 | -44.8 | -43.6 | -52.7 | -63.7 | -55.7 | -40.9 | |
| Forecast | -34.0 | -37.8 | -43.0 | -42.0 | -33.0 | -44.2 | -43.9 | -56.0 | -65.0 | -55.0 | |
| Previous | -30.0 | -35.7 | -41.7 | -41.4 | -35.0 | -44.8 | -43.6 | -52.7 | -63.7 | -55.7 | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Secondary Indicator: Business Climate Indicator
Most Recent Release
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.79 | -0.5 | -0.28 | -0.33 | ||
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For September
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Table of Past Data
| 11/30 | 1/7 | 2/29 | 3/31 | 4/30 | 5/29 | 6/27 | 7/30 | 8/29 | 9/29 | ||
| Actual | 1.04 | 0.92 | 0.72 | 0.80 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 0.14 | -0.21 | -0.33 | -0.79 | |
| Forecast | 0.79 | 0.90 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 0.41 | 0.40 | -0.02 | -0.30 | -0.5 | |
| Previous | 0.87 | 1.04 | 0.78 | 0.72 | 0.79 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 0.14 | -0.21 | -0.28 | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.80 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.33 | |
Past Releases
Business Climate Indicator
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.33 | -0.30 | -0.21 | N/A | ||
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For August
From the Release: "After a fall below its long-term average in July, the Business Climate Indicator (BCI) for the euro area decreased again in August. The low level of the indicator suggests that industrial activity remains subdued. Four out of five underlying components of the BCI declined. Industrial managers' production expectations deteriorated most, but their assessment of stocks of finished products, total order books, and export order books also declined. Their assessment of production trend observed in recent months was the only component to improve." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -55.7 | -65.0 | -63.7 | N/A | ||
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For August
See "GER ZEW Economic Sentiment" for more commentary.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -0.21 | -0.02 | 0.14 | N/A | ||
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For July
From the Release: "The Business Climate Indicator (BCI) for the euro area continued to decline and now stands below its long-term average. The low level of the indicator suggests that economic activity in industry, which saw a fall in production in May, remains subdued. All the five underlying components of the BCI registered a decrease. Industrial managers' production expectations and their appraisal of total order books deteriorated most, but their assessment of production trend observed in recent months and export order books also declined significantly. Their assessment of stocks of finished products worsened only slightly." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -63.7 | -56.0 | -52.7 | N/A | ||
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For July
From the Release: "The economic expectations for the euro zone declined significantly in July as well. The indicator decreased by 11.0 points and now stands at minus 63.7 points. The indicator for the current economic situation in the euro zone dropped by 11.2 points and now stands at minus 3.3 points." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.14 | 0.40 | 0.54 | N/A | ||
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For June
From the Release: "After a rebound in May, the Business Climate Indicator (BCI) for the euro area decreased in June. The current level of the indicator suggests that industrial production growth weakened in the second quarter of this year, although it still points to a production growth rate which is above its historical average. All the five underlying components of the BCI registered a decrease. The industrial managers' appraisal of the production trend in recent months and their total order books deteriorated sharply, while their assessment of the stocks of finished products, production expectations and export order books declined moderately." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -52.7 | -43.9 | -43.6 | N/A |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.54 | 0.41 | 0.44 | N/A | ||
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For May
Though the Business Climate Index stayed near its lowest level since early 2006, this month saw an improvement compared to April. The BCI increased to 0.54 on manager's appraisals of production. As the report states however, the low levels point to a weaker 2nd quarter. From the Release: "After a drop in April, the Business Climate Indicator (BCI) for the euro area picked up slightly in May. Nonetheless, the downward trend of the BCI and the deceleration in industrial production registered in March point to a weakening of industrial activity in the second quarter of 2008. The increase in the BCI is mainly due to an improvement in industry managers' appraisals of the production trend in recent months. Managers' assessments of their export order books deteriorated slightly, while their production expectations and their views on total order books and stocks of finished products remained unchanged." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -43.6 | -44.2 | -44.8 | N/A | ||
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For May
The ZEW Economic Sentiment improved slightly in May, and beat expectations of a smaller increase. Expectations increased while the current economic situation fell. From the Release: "Economic expectations for the euro zone stabilized in May. The indicator slightly increased by 1.2 points and now stands at minus 43.6 points. The indicator for the current economic situation in the euro zone dropped by 4.1 points and now stands at 11.4 points." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.44 | 0.69 | 0.79 | 0.80 | ||
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For April
From the Release: "After a slight rebound in March, the Business Climate Indicator (BCI) for the euro area decreased again in April. The current level of the indicator still continues to suggest above historical average industrial production growth, but the decline points to a weakening of the monthly growth rates in the second quarter of 2008. Nearly all the components of the BCI worsened, production expectations being the only exception, which remained unchanged. Industry managers' appraisals of the production trend in recent months and of their total order books deteriorated sharply. Their assessments concerning export order books and stocks of finished products declined more moderately." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -44.8 | -33.0 | -35.0 | N/A | ||
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For April
Just like in Germany, the economic expectations of financial analysts in the Euro-zone worsened in April. The
ZEW indicator decreased considerably by 9.8 points and now stands at -44.8 points. The indicator for the current economic situation in the
euro zone dropped by 3.9 points and now stands at 15.5 points.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.72 | N/A | ||
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For March
From the Release:
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -35.0 | -42.0 | -41.4 | N/A | ||
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For March The German and Euro-zone ZEW Economic Sentiment indicators beat expectations, and improved, though they remain below their long term averages. Recent fundamentals have shown the Germany economy improving, even as the Euro sets record highs, and the US slows down. The ECB is concerned with fighting inflation, and is therefore keeping rates at their current levels. If the Euro-zone economy can manage to ride out the worst of the credit crunch, the Euro will stay in a strong position as the Fed continues cutting rates. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.78 | N/A | ||
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For February
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -41.4 | -43.0 | -41.7 | N/A | ||
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For February
"Economic expectations for the euro zone improved in February. The indicator increased by 0.3 points and now stands at minus 41.4 points. The indicator for the current economic situation in the euro zone decreased by 26.0 points to 21.8 points." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -41.7 | -37.8 | -35.7 | N/A | ||
| For January. | |||||
|
Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.92 | 0.90 | 1.04 | N/A | ||
| For December. | |||||
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| -35.7 | -34.0 | -30.0 | N/A | ||
| For December. | |||||
|
Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.04 | 0.79 | 0.87 | N/A | ||
| For November | |||||
















