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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | ||
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For Janaury
Coincident Index: 0.2%, pr. 0.1% (Dec), 0.2% (Nov), 0.0% (Oct),
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| 5/21 | 6/18 | 7/20 | 8/20 | 9/21 | 10/22 | 11/19 | 12/17 | 1/21 | 2/18 | ||
| Actual | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| Forecast | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| Previous | -0.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| Revised From | -0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.1% | |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | N/A | ||
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For December
Coincident Index: 0.1%, pr. 0.2% (Nov), 0.0% (Oct), -0.1% (Sep),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | N/A | ||
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For November
Coincident Index: 0.2%, pr. 0.0% (Oct), -0.1% R- (Sep), 0.0% (Aug),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | N/A | ||
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For October
Coincident Index: 0.0%, pr. -0.1% R- (Sep), 0.0% (Aug), 0.1% (Jul),
The index of leading economic indicators rose for the 7th straight month in October, signaling that the US recovery is in place. The index, which is put out by the Conference Board, rose 0.3% after increasing an unrevised 1.0% in September. The figure came in weaker than expected, and shows that the pace of the recovery may slow in the coming months, but that there will be growth through this quarter and the first quarter of 2010 as well. Six of the 10 leading indicators increased in October, with the most positive being the interest rate spread, the inverted trend in jobless claims, and stock prices. Dragging the index down were consumer expectations and building permits. The coincident index which tries to measure the present situation was flat following a downwardly revised 0.1% fall in October. The lagging index fell 0.2%. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | ||
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For September
Coincident Index: 0.0%, pr. 0.0% (Aug), 0.1% (Jul), -0.4% (Jun),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | ||
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For August
Coincident Index: 0.0%, pr. 0.1% (Jul), -0.4% (Jun), -0.2% (May),
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index rose for a 5th straight month, increasing 0.6% in August. Though that was a smaller increase than predicted by economists, the July figure was revised higher. The coincident index, which measures current conditions, has stopped falling as well, posting its second straight reading above zero. Taken together the signs show that the recession is bottoming out. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | ||
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For July
Coincident Index: 0.0%, pr. -0.2% (Jun), -0.2% (May), -0.2% (Apr),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | ||
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For June
Coincident Index: -0.2%, pr. -0.2% (May), -0.2% (Apr), -0.4% (Mar),
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | ||
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For May
Coincident Index: -0.2%, pr. -0.2% (Apr), -0.4% (Mar), -0.4% (Feb),
The leading index rose higher than expected. This was the second improvement in a month and supports the sentiments that the US economy is in a recovery phase. A better stock market, housing market, and consumer confidence are pushing the overall index to the best back to back gain since Nov-Dec 2001. At the moment, we are also seeing June's employment situation stabilizing, so further improvement in the leading index could be expected. However, poor credit conditions still stiffle sentiments, and Obama's plans for the financial institutions will be key to the US economic recovery. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.0% | 0.7% | -0.2% | -0.3% | ||
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For April
Coincident Index: -0.2%, pr. -0.4% (Mar), -0.4% (Feb), -0.5% (Jan),
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