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Indicator Digest

Leading Indicators
Index of a combination of several indicators for that month.

Main Indicator: Leading Index

Most Recent Release

February
12th, 2010
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.4% 0.9% N/A

For December
Provided by: Conference Board
Official Release: HTML PDF

Coincident Index: 0.1%, pr. 0.1% (Nov), 0.1% (Oct), 0.1% (Sep),
-0.1% (Aug), 0.1% (Jul), 0.1% (Jun), -0.3% (May), 0.0%, (Apr),
-0.3% (Mar), -0.3% (Feb), -0.3% (Jan), 0.1% (Dec), -0.2% (Nov)

Next Release Date: March 16th 2010, 5:00 EST

Table of Past Data

3/124/95/147/99/1010/811/1012/101/152/12
Actual-0.4%-0.6%-0.5%1.0%0.7%0.9%1.0%1.0%0.9%0.4%
Forecast
Previous-0.7%-0.4%-0.6%0.7%1.0%0.5%0.9%1.1%1.0%0.9%
Revised From-0.6%N/AN/A0.9%N/A0.7%N/A1.0%N/AN/A

Past Releases

January
15th, 2010
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.9% 1.0% N/A
For November
Provided by: Conference Board
Officia Release: HTML PDF

Coincident Index: 0.1%, pr. 0.1% (Oct), 0.1% (Sep), -0.1% (Aug),
0.1% (Jul), 0.1% (Jun), -0.3% (May), 0.0%, (Apr), -0.3% (Mar),
-0.3% (Feb), -0.3% (Jan), 0.1% (Dec), -0.2% (Nov), 0.1% (Oct)

December
10th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.0% 1.1% 1.0%
For October
Provided by: Conference Board
Previous Release: HTML PDF

Coincident Index: pr. 0.2% (Sep), -0.1% (Aug), 0.1% (Jul),
0.1% (Jun), -0.3% (May), 0.0%, (Apr), -0.3% (Mar), -0.3% (Feb),
-0.3% (Jan), 0.1% (Dec), -0.2% (Nov), 0.1% (Oct), 0.1% (Sep)

November
10th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.0% 0.9% N/A
For September
Provided by: Conference Board
Official Release: HTML PDF

Coincident Index: 0.2%, pr. -0.1% (Aug), 0.1% (Jul), 0.1% (Jun),
-0.3% (May), 0.0%, (Apr), -0.3% (Mar), -0.3% (Feb), -0.3% (Jan),
0.1% (Dec), -0.2% (Nov), 0.1% (Oct), 0.1% (Sep)

October
8th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.9% 0.5% 0.7%
For August
Provided by: Conference Board
Official Release: HTML PDF

Coincident Index: -0.1%, pr. 0.1% (Jul), 0.1% (Jun), -0.3% (May),
0.0%, (Apr), -0.3% (Mar), -0.3% (Feb), -0.3% (Jan), 0.1% (Dec),
-0.2% (Nov), 0.1% (Oct), 0.1% (Sep)

September
10th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
0.7% 1.0% N/A
For July
Provided by: Conference Board
Official Release: HTML PDF

Coincident Index: 0.1%, pr. 0.1% (Jun), -0.3% (May), 0.0%, (Apr),
-0.3% (Mar), -0.3% (Feb), -0.3% (Jan), 0.1% (Dec), -0.2% (Nov),
0.1% (Oct), 0.1% (Sep)

The leading index rose 0.7% in July, as expected output, the yield spread, and consumer confidence rose. It's the 4th consecutive month that the leading index has increased, which is a signal that the economy should be on a path to recovery. However, the coincident index has been much tamer, climbing 0.1% for the second month in a row, following a 0.3% decline in May. The rise in the coincident index came about from increased industrial production and retail sales.

July
9th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
1.0% 0.7% 0.9%
For May
Provided by: Conference Board
Official Release: HTML PDF

Coincident Index: -0.1%, pr. 0.0%, (Apr), -0.3% (Mar), -0.3% (Feb),
-0.3% (Jan), 0.1% (Dec), -0.2% (Nov), 0.1% (Oct), 0.1% (Sep)

The UK leading index rose by 1% in May, following a 0.7% increase in May. The largest positive contirbutions came from increases in higher industrial production, consumer confidence, stock prices and the yield spread. The conincident index, which measures teh current state of the economy, fell 0.1%.

May
14th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.5% -0.6% N/A
For March
Provided by: Conference Board
Official Release: HTML PDF

Coincident Index: 0.0%, pr. -0.3% (Feb), -0.3% (Jan), 0.1% (Dec),
-0.2% (Nov), 0.1% (Oct), 0.1% (Sep), 0.2% (Aug)

The Conference Board leading economic index fell 0.5% in March, the 17th consecutive month that the index has declined. That should signal that the UK economy does not seem ready for a near-term recovery, though some indicators have started showing a moderation in the recession.The coincident index, which gauges current conditions, was flat on the month, following two months of negative growth. 

April
9th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.6% -0.4% N/A
For February
Provided by: Conference Board
Official Release: PDF

Coincident Index: -0.1% pr. 0.0% R (Jan), 0.1% (Dec), -0.2% (Nov),
0.1% (Oct), 0.1% (Sep), 0.2% (Aug)

March
12th, 2009
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
-0.4% -0.7% -0.6%
For January
Provided by: Conference Board
Official Release: PDF

Coincident Index: -0.1%, pr. 0.1% (Dec), -0.2% (Nov), 0.1% (Oct),
0.1% (Sep), 0.2% (Aug)