Indicator Digest - CMS Forex

Leading Indicators

Index of a combination of several indicators for that month.

Main Indicator: Leading Index

Most Recent Release

September
10th, 2008

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

91.6%

91.8%

91.3%

N/A

Preliminary Measure for July
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Coincident Index: 103.3%, forecast 102.5%, pr. 101.7% (Jun), 103.0% (May),
101.7% (Apr)

Next Release Date: October 07th 2008, 1:00 EST

Table of Past Data

	12/6	1/10	2/6	3/6	4/7	5/9	6/9	7/4	8/6	9/10

Actual	20.0%	10.0	40.0%	30.0%	50.0%	20.0%	92.8%	92.6	91.2%	91.6%
Forecast	20.0%	10.0	40.0%	30.0%	50.0%	20.0%	93.0%	93.0%	90.8%	91.8%
Previous	0.0%	18.2	18.2%	45.5%	36.4	54.5%	90.8%	92.8%	92.9%	91.3%
Revised From	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	50.0%	N/A	N/A	92.6%	N/A

Past Releases

August
6th, 2008

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

91.2%

90.8%

92.9%

92.6%

Preliminary Measure for June
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Coincident Index: 101.7%, forecast 101.7%, pr. 103.0% (May), 101.7% (Apr)

July
4th, 2008

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

92.6

93.0%

92.8%

N/A

Preliminary Measure for May
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Coincident Index: 103.0%, forecast 103.4%, pr. 101.7% (Apr), 102.4% (Mar)

June
9th, 2008

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

92.8%

93.0%

90.8%

N/A

Preliminary Measure for April
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Coincident Index: 101.7%, forecast 102.1%, pr. 102.4%

May
9th, 2008

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

20.0%

54.5%

50.0%

Preliminary Measure for March
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Coincident Index: forecast 33.3%, pr. 70.0%

April
7th, 2008

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

50.0%

36.4

N/A

Preliminary Measure for February
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Coincident Index: 44.4%, forecast 44.4%, pr 20.0%

Prelimary data for February's leading indexes shows recovery in housing investment and durable goods shipments. The index has bounced from its 0 reading last September and is now right at the expansion/contraction boundery.

March
6th, 2008

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

30.0%

45.5%

N/A

Preliminary measure for January
Release from the Cabinet Office

February
6th, 2008

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

40.0%

18.2%

N/A

Preliminary measure for December
Release from the Cabinet Office

January
10th, 2008

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

10.0

18.2

N/A

Preliminary measure for November
Release from the Cabinet Office

After rebounding from September's 0 reading, November's business outlook measure plunged. 9 of the 10 available indicators in the index pointed to contraction and 1 pointed to growth. The index has been below 50 for the past 4 monthly releases.

December
6th, 2007

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

20.0%

0.0%

N/A

Preliminary measure for October.

Coincident Index: 66.7%, forecast 66.7%, pr. 60.0% (Sept).