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Consumer Confidence
Countries measure the mood of their consumers by surveying consumer attitudes regarding present economic conditions each month. Consumer spending usually makes up two-thirds of GDP in a developed economy, and therefore is important to monitor. Consumer confidence also affects stock and bond markets, and can give insight into consumers reactions to any economic shocks. The general method in scoring the confidence level is through household surveys conducted monthly. Some use preliminary estimates which surveys fewer households at the beginning of the month, and a final survey that encompasses a larger sample pool towards the end of the month.

Main Indicator: Consumer Confidence

Most Recent Release

May
16th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
35.2 36.0 36.7 N/A

"Household" Confidence for April
Provided by: Cabinet Office
Official Release: Page and data

Consumer confidence declined again in Japan, falling to a measure of 35.2, reported the Cabinet Office. A reading below 50 implies contraction. Confidence is now at a new fresh 5-year low. Consumers are concerned about a slowing economy which is putting pressure on employment and wages. At the same time, inflation is driving up the prices of energy and food.

The four sub-indexes all fell:

Economic Well Being:                      33, pr. 34.4
Income Growth:                             37.5, pr 38.7
Employment Conditions:                 36.0, pr. 37.6
Willingness to Buy Durable Goods:   34.2, pr. 36.2

Table of Past Data

8/109/1210/1211/1212/111/182/133/124/185/16
Actual44.444.044.142.939.838.037.536.136.735.2
Forecast45.044.044.545.542.838.537.537.536.536.0
Previous45.044.444.044.142.939.838.037.536.136.7
Revised FromN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A

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Past Releases

April
18th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
36.7 36.5 36.1 N/A

"Household" Confidence for March
Provided by: Cabinet Office
Official Release: Page and data

Consumer confidence rose in March, the first time it has done so in 6 months. Consumers and households have digested the prospects of a weakening economy and rising inflation. February's confidence of 36.1 was the lowest since March 2003.

The sub-indexes for general well-being, employment and willingness to purchase durable goods increased, while the income growth sub-index declined. 

The Yen was declining during the Friday session, as carry trade sentiments were piqued by news that the Bank of England wanted to help ease money-market conditions boosting the appeal of higher-yielding currencies. 

March
12th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
36.1 37.5 37.5 N/A

For February
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Japan's consumer confidence slipped to a 5 year low in February, dipping to 36.1, the lowest since March 2003. The sentiment index for general households includes views on incomes and jobs, and shows Japanese households increasingly pessimistic as food and energy costs rise, and the housing sector enters a recessionary phase.

February
13th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
37.5 37.5 38.0 N/A
For January
Provided by: Cabinet Office
January
18th, 2008
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
38.0 38.5 39.8 N/A
For December.
December
11th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
39.8 42.8 42.9 N/A
For November
Released from the Economic and Social Research Institute,Cabinet Office

Japanese consumer confidence dropped to the lowest level since December 2003. Sub-indexes of economic well being, income growth, employment, and willingness to buy durable goods all deteriorated. Also, 82.2% of the respondents expected prices to rise in the coming year, an all time high.
November
12th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
42.9 45.5 44.1 N/A
For October.
Government's Cabinet Office

The Government's index of consumer confidence fell to 42.8 in October from 44.1 in September. The survey is meant to measure consumer's outlook for the next 6 months. The indicator has not been below 44 during 2007.
October
12th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
44.1 44.5 44.0 N/A
September
12th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
44.0 44.0 44.4 N/A
For August, consumer confidence in Japan dropped to its lowest since December, 2004 and registered the 15th straight month below the boom-bust line of 50.
August
10th, 2007
Actual Forecast Previous Revised Form
44.4 45.0 45.0 N/A
This is the third straight month of decline in consumer sentiment.

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