Indicator Digest

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Consumer Confidence

Countries measure the mood of their consumers by surveying consumer attitudes regarding present economic conditions each month. Consumer spending usually makes up two-thirds of GDP in a developed economy, and therefore is important to monitor. Consumer confidence also affects stock and bond markets, and can give insight into consumers reactions to any economic shocks. The general method in scoring the confidence level is through household surveys conducted monthly. Some use preliminary estimates which surveys fewer households at the beginning of the month, and a final survey that encompasses a larger sample pool towards the end of the month.

Main Indicator: Consumer Confidence

Most Recent Release

February
12th, 2010

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

39.0

38.2

37.6

N/A

"Household" Confidence for January
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Consumer Conf.: 39.4, pr. 37.9 (Dec)

Next Release Date: March 15th 2010, 0:00 EST

Table of Past Data

	4/17	6/12	7/13	8/11	9/11	10/14	11/13	12/11	1/19	2/12

Actual	28.9	35.7	37.6	39.4	40.1	40.5	40.5	39.5	37.6	39.0
Forecast	29.3	34.1	36.8	39.2	41.1	41.4	40.9	40.6	40.3	38.2
Previous	26.7	32.4	35.7	37.6	39.4	40.1	40.5	40.5	39.5	37.6
Revised From	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Past Releases

January
19th, 2010

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

37.6

40.3

39.5

N/A

December
11th, 2009

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

39.5

40.6

40.5

N/A

"Household" Confidence for November
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Consumer Conf.: pr. 48.8 (Oct), 40.7 (Sep), 40.4 (Aug)

November
13th, 2009

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

40.5

40.9

40.5

N/A

"Household" Confidence for October
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Consumer Conf.: pr. 40.7 (Sept), 40.4 (Aug)

October
14th, 2009

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

40.5

41.4

40.1

N/A

"Household" Confidence for September
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Consumer Conf.: 40.7, pr. 40.4 (Aug)

September
11th, 2009

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

40.1

41.1

39.4

N/A

"Household" Confidence for July
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Consumer Conf.: pr. 35.7 (May), 28.9 (March), 26.7 (Feb),
26.4 (Jan), 26.2 (Dec), 28.4 (Nov)

August
11th, 2009

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

39.4

39.2

37.6

N/A

"Household" Confidence for June
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Consumer Conf.: pr. 35.7 (May), 28.9 (March), 26.7 (Feb), 26.4 (Jan),
26.2 (Dec), 28.4 (Nov)

July
13th, 2009

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

37.6

36.8

35.7

N/A

"Household" Confidence for June
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Consumer Conf.: pr. 35.7 (May), 28.9 (March), 26.7 (Feb), 26.4 (Jan),
26.2 (Dec), 28.4 (Nov)

Since the record low of 26.2 in December, the Japanese confidence index has been steadily improving. However, the underlying numbers are still woeful, as houshold spending only in May snapped out of a record 14-month decline. Unemployment rate is at a 5-yr high, stocks have been tumblingand exports continue to slide. Sentiments however are improving, although it is far from the 50.0 level and remains highly pessimistic.

June
12th, 2009

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

35.7

34.1

32.4

N/A

"Household" Confidence for May
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Consumer Conf.: pr. 27.6 (Feb), 27.0 (Jan), 26.7 (Dec), 28.7 (Nov),
29.8 (Oct), 31.8 (Sep)

April
17th, 2009

Actual

Forecast

Revised Form

28.9

29.3

26.7

N/A

"Household" Confidence for March
Provided by: Cabinet Office

Consumer Conf.: pr. 27.6 (Feb), 27.0 (Jan), 26.7 (Dec), 28.7 (Nov),
29.8 (Oct), 31.8 (Sep)