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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.6 | N/A | ||
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For July
From the Release: "After several months of stagnation, the mood of consumers in Germany is once again showing a slight upwards trend, with economic and income expectations on the in-crease and the propensity to buy also improving slightly. The over-all indicator is forecasting a value of 2.9 points for July 2009, following a revised value of 2.6 points in June, and is therefore climbing slightly following a period of stability. However, the consumer climate remains at a low level overall." |
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| 9/25 | 10/28 | 11/25 | 12/22 | 1/28 | 2/26 | 3/26 | 4/27 | 5/26 | 6/23 | ||
| Actual | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.9 | |
| Forecast | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | |
| Previous | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.6 | |
| Revised From | 1.5 | N/A | N/A | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.4 | N/A | N/A | |

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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | N/A | ||
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For June
From the Release: "Consumer sentiment remained virtually constant in May this year. While economic expectations were slightly up for the second time in a row, the prospects for income were down somewhat. Consumer propensity to buy remained virtually unchanged at a good level. The overall indicator is forecasting a value of 2.5 points for June, following a value of 2.5 points for May and with this, the consumer climate has remained stable since March. Increasingly, the indicators have been signalling that the steep contraction of the German economy is bottoming out, giving rise to hopes of reasonable stabilization before the end of the year. The economic outlook, although remaining at a very low level, has also risen for the second time in a row and the propensity to buy also defended its positive level to remain virtually unchanged in May. Conversely, however, income expectations dropped back as a result of escalating fears of job losses, concerns which are rising in the wake of increased short-time work and declining income prospects. The consumer climate index for June continues to indicate that the consumer mood remains stable. However, consumer sentiment has yet to face a real test when confronted by the anticipated rise in unemployment." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 2.4 | ||
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For May
From the Release: "In spite of the difficulties of the economic crisis, the German consumer climate continued to be stable this April. After a slight drop in the previous month, economic and income expectations were even slightly up. Although consumer propensity to buy declined somewhat, it nevertheless remained at a pleasing level. The overall indicator is forecasting a value of 2.5 points for May, following a revised value, also of 2.5 points, for April and with this, the consumer climate is proving to be surprisingly resilient in the face of all the gloomy predictions. Factors which increase purchasing power, such as low inflation, lower energy prices and higher pensions, along with some isolated signs signalling a trend reversal by the end of the year, are evidently ensuring that April 2009 has seen a rise in both economic and income expectations." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.6 | ||
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For April
Germany’s consumer confidence declined for the first time in seven months, with the GfK German consumer climate indicator for April declining to 2.4 from March’s downwardly revised 2.5, GfK Group reported. Economic expectations declined to -32.8 in March from -27.9 in February, while income expectations decreased minimally to -11.4 from February’s -11.0.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | ||
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For March
From the Release: "The mood of German consumers is improving. Stable prices and the bonus for scrapping old cars have triggered a slight improvement in the consumer climate. Following the recent decline in economic and income expectations, both indi-cators were up for February. Buying propensity, which was up last month, declined only marginally and was higher than its level at the same time in the previous year. The overall indicator is forecasting a value of 2.6 points for March 2009, following a revised value of 2.3 points in February." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.2 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 | ||
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For February
From the Release: "The consumer climate in Germany continues to remain stable, albeit at a low level. In spite of the financial and economic crisis, the propensity to buy has, surprisingly, increased considerably in January; however, both income and economic expectations are in decline. The overall indicator is forecasting a value of 2.2 points in February, following a revised value of 2.2 points in January. Recent sharp falls in the inflation rate are currently having a positive impact on the propensity to consume, with the result that the latter demonstrated strong growth at the start of this year. However, current announcements regarding cuts in working hours, compulsory leave and the threat of redundancies mean that unemployment is again a growing fear among the employed, and income expectations have declined for the second time in a row. Economic expectations in January have also once again fallen slightly below their record low of the previous month. Consequently, the consumer climate will also remain constant in February 2009." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.2 | ||
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For January
From the Release: "The consumer climate is also likely to remain stable in the new year,
albeit at a low level. In spite of the financial crisis and its impact
on the economy, German consumer propensity to buy was again up slightly
in December. The overall indicator is forecasting a value of 2.1 points
for January 2009 after a revised value of 2.1 points for December and
consequently remains stable. However, both income and economic
expectations declined.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | N/A | ||
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For December
From the Release: "The financial crisis may have reached the real economy, but on the whole is not affecting consumer sentiment. Indeed, as in the previous month the consumer climate seems to again be making low level gains towards the end of the year. Both the rise in income expectations and the improved propensity to buy support this. In contrast, expectations regarding the economy continued their downward trend. The overall indicator is forecasting 2.2 points for December after a revised value of 1.9 points for November. Germans’ economic expectations continued the downward trend. In November the indicator lost another 3.6 points to stand at -30.1 points. This is the lowest value since the start of the full Germany survey in 1991. Sharply falling energy prices also ensured that income expectations in Germany continued their recovery at a low level in November as well. For the fourth time in a row, the indicator made gains and now stands at -6.9 points. This month saw a 6-point rise. However, year-on-year the indicator is still down almost 7 points." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.8 | N/A | ||
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For November
Provided by: GfK Group Official Release: HTML PDF From the Release: In spite of the financial crisis and some turbulent times on the stock markets, the consumer climate for October appeared to stabilize at a low level. A slight rise in income expectations, in particular, associated with a decline in the propensity to save are also contributory factors. By contrast, economic expectations and the propensity to buy both fell. The indicator for November is therefore forecasting 1.9 points after a revised value of 1.8 points for October. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | ||
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For October
From the Release: "Falling oil prices curbed the downward trend in consumer mood in September, at least, for the moment. Both the economic outlook and income expectations have improved slightly and the propensity to buy recovered from its lowest point in three years. Subsequently, the consumer climate has shown signs of stabilization. The indicator for October is therefore forecasting 1.8 points after a revised value of 1.6 points in September. Despite the current stabilization, in view of recent events on the financial markets, GfK does not anticipate any further growth in consumption in real terms this year and is consequently revising its forecast from 0.5% to 0%." |
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