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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | N/A | ||
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Provided by: Swiss National Bank
From the Release: "The inflation forecast has remained almost unchanged as compared to the monetary policy assessment of December 2009. It shows that short-term price stability is not threatened. However, it confirms that the current expansionary monetary policy cannot be maintained throughout the entire forecast horizon without compromising medium and long-term price stability. The recovery of the global economy is continuing, but remains fragile. Should more external shocks occur, the danger of deflation cannot be entirely ruled out. The SNB is leaving the target range for the three-month Libor unchanged at 0.00–0.75%. In doing so, it still aims to keep the Libor within the lower part of the target range at around 0.25%. It will act decisively to prevent an excessive appreciation of the Swiss franc against the euro. The forecast remains associated with considerable risks with regard to the global economic recovery. The economy is still benefiting strongly from government support measures. Not until these have been phased out will it become clear whether the stabilisation or recovery evident in certain markets is sustainable." |
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| 9/18 | 10/8 | 11/6 | 11/20 | 12/11 | 3/12 | 6/18 | 9/17 | 12/10 | 3/11 | ||
| Actual | 2.75% | 2.50% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 0.50% | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | |
| Forecast | 2.75% | 0.50% | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | ||||
| Previous | 2.75% | 2.75% | 2.50% | 2.00% | 1.00% | 0.50% | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | |
| Revised From | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | N/A | ||
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Provided by: Swiss National Bank
The Swiss National Bank held rates at 0.25% as was widely expected. The central bank said that it intends to continue to provide the economy with a "generous supply" of liquidity, but announced it would discontinue purchases of Swiss franc-denominated bonds issued by privates sector borrowers. That implies that the central bank see recovery prospects good enough that it is ready to unwind some of its looser monetary measures. The SNB also said that it would continue to "Act decisively"to prevent "any excessive appreciation" of the Swiss currency versus the Euro. The SNB has intervened in markets several times throughout 2009. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | N/A | ||
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Provided by: Swiss National Bank
From the Release: "The Swiss National Bank is maintaining the expansionary monetary policy which it initiated last March. Despite the recent increase in the number of encouraging economic signs, uncertainty as to future developments remains considerable. In these circumstances, the SNB is opting for caution and retaining its monetary policy unchanged. Consequently, the SNB is holding the Libor target range at 0-0.75%. It is still aiming to keep the Libor within the lower end of this range, i.e. at approximately 0.25%. It will continue to provide the economy with a generous supply of liquidity and, if necessary, to purchase Swiss franc bonds with a view to reducing risk premiam on long-term debt instruments issued by private sector borrowers. In addition, it will continue to act decisively to prevent any appreciation of the Swiss franc against the euro. |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% | N/A | ||
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Provided by: Swiss National Bank
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.25% | 0.25% | 0.50% | N/A | ||
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Provided by: Swiss National Bank
The Swiss Franc fell heavily against its rivals after the announcement by the central bank to cut rates by a quarter point, though more importantly was the bank's statement that it would interfere in currency markets to try and weaken the Swiss Franc.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 0.50% | 0.50% | 1.00% | N/A | ||
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Provided by: Swiss National Bank
From the Release: "The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is lowering the three-month Libor target range by 50 basis
The global economic environment has sharply deteriorated over the past few months. Economic activity has declined in both the US and Europe, and has slowed considerably in Asia. The situation on international financial markets has worsened further since September. The Swiss economy will be heavily affected by these developments. The SNB projects that GDP growth will be negative next year, between –0.5% and –1%. The unfavourable economic outlook and the falling oil price have prompted a radical adjustment of the inflation forecast. Inflation will undergo a substantial decline over the course of next year, and will remain low thereafter. Assuming a constant rate of 0.5% for the three-month Libor, the SNB is now forecasting average annual inflation of 0.9% in 2009 and 0.5% in 2010. The improvement in the inflation outlook has provided room for manoeuvre which the SNB is decisively using. By further lowering the Libor target range, the SNB aims to reduce the risk of a deterioration in the situation, and thus supporting economic activity." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 1.00% | 2.00% | N/A | |||
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Provided by: Swiss National Bank
In a surprise unscheduled move the Swiss National Bank slashed interest rates by a record 100 basis points. The central bank has become more concerned over the economic outlook, and does not feel restrained by inflation fears. The move may also be a reaction to a fresh round of stock losses that have again rattled confidence in financial markets around the world. It was the third unscheduled move by the SNB since the beginning of October when rates were 2.75%. This also means that the bank will most likely not move on rates next month in its scheduled meeting, but instead give an assessment of the economy, though that is dependent on conditions in the banking sector.
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.00% | 2.50% | N/A | |||
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Provided by: Swiss National Bank
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.50% | 2.75% | N/A | |||
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Provided by: Swiss National Bank
From the Release: "The global financial crisis has intensified and is having a considerable impact on the international economy. The slowdown in economic activity in the US and Europe is more severe than what the SNB had forecast at its last monetary policy assessment of 18 September 2008. The Swiss economy is also affected by these developments. Economic growth for 2009 will be weaker than expected at the last assessment. In view of the improved inflation outlook, as a result of the economic downturn and the low oil prices, the SNB is now able to loosen its monetary policy reins. The Swiss National Bank will continue to provide the Swiss franc money market with liquidity in a generous and flexible manner. It will keep a close watch on developments in the financial markets, so as to assess their impact on economic activity and the inflation outlook and be able to react swiftly, if necessary." |
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Actual | Forecast | Previous | Revised Form | |
| 2.75% | 2.75% | 2.75% | N/A | ||
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Provided by: Swiss National Bank
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