Compare the 4H chart to a daily chart and see what the two tell us using A/D:
Figure 10 – A daily graph of EUR/USD from July 18th through October 2005.
- There is actually a bullish divergence that could predict the EUR/USD’s move up. Trendline analysis could have too.
- From Aug 11th to Sept 4th, there is no divergence on the daily graph the way there is on the 4H.
- The daily graph also shows the full extent of the USD gains after the
third divergence studied. The Dollar gains all the way to 1.1900 before
a significant EUR rally. (We saw the Dollar rally end at 1.2200).
These observations seem to imply that the 2 indicators (one daily, one 4 hourly) give contradictory information. The daily misses stops and pauses through out the day that could clue one into the trading dynamic of a rally. If there is high volume on candles that have shapes that imply bulls and bears are wrestling for control (see the highlighted boxes below) then it will change the A/D line. On the daily, they may be glossed over.
Figure 11 – A final look at the EUR/USD from Aug. 3rd to Sept. 15th 2005.